Thunder vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 4

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on ESPN | FDOK | FDSW

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm in San Antonio, TX.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Thunder vs Spurs Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 25-26 against the spread, while the Spurs are 26-23 against the spread.

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Thunder vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Spurs vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 58.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Spurs.

Spurs vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.00 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.45 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 away games (+7.45 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.30 Units / 39% ROI)

Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:

• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+8.55 Units / 20% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+7.85 Units / 29% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+7.55 Units / 17% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.30 Units / 32% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 25-26 (-3.6 Units / -6.42% ROI).

• 40-11 against the Moneyline (-9.4 Units / -2.74% ROI)
• 26-25 against the Over for game total points (-1.5 Units / -2.67% ROI)
• 25-26 against the Under for game total points (-3.6 Units / -6.42% ROI)

San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 26-23 (+0.7 Units / 1.3% ROI).

• 33-16 against the Moneyline (+10.95 Units / 8.63% ROI)
• 17-32 against the Over for game total points (-18.2 Units / -33.77% ROI)
• 32-17 against the Under for game total points (+13.3 Units / 24.68% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:

• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 35 games at home (-14.70 Units / -27% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games at home (-11.35 Units / -30% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games at home (-10.55 Units / -35% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 20 games at home (-10.35 Units / -44% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 35 games at home (-10.15 Units / -25% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games (-27.75 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 21 games (-24.00 Units / -48% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 away games (-19.60 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 35 away games (-17.50 Units / -44% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 4Q Spread in 15 of their last 40 games (-13.80 Units / -30% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
• Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
• Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs
• Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Thunder are 18-1 (.947) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .629

The Thunder are undefeated (13-0) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571

The Thunder are 77-12 (.865) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Thunder are 87-12 (.879) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .597

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Spurs are undefeated (13-0) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .691

The Spurs were 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Spurs were 2-24 (.077) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

The Spurs are 22-7 (.759) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .629

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.6 (119 assists/ 46 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Thunder averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (961 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs shot 34% from three (519/1,511) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs averaged 14.5 assists per game (1,186 assists/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

The Spurs have averaged 13.7 turnovers per game (672 turnovers/49 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6

The Spurs are shooting 35% from three (633/1,828) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 11.0 steals per game (760 steals/69 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (2,047 steals/215 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have averaged 9.8 steals per game (1,083 steals/110 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Thunder have allowed 39.9 points in the paint per game (2,034 points/51 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 49.6

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,811 rebounds/49 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Spurs averaged 5.5 blocks per game (455 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Spurs have averaged 7.7 steals per game (375 steals/49 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Spurs averaged 6.3 blocks per game (520 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

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