- The Thunder (32-35) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Spurs (17-49)
- Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
- Sunday, March 12, 2023 at 7:00pm EDT
- Watch the game on BSSW & BSOK
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit AT&T Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in San Antonio.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Thunder vs Spurs Over/Under is 236.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 41-25 against the spread, while the Spurs are 27-39 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Oklahoma City Thunder | -2.5 -115 | O 236.5 -110 | -150 |
San Antonio Spurs | +2.5 -105 | U 236.5 -110 | +125 |
Spurs vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 57.8% confidence.
Spurs vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 53.6% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Thunder and Spurs, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 48 of their last 81 games (+29.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 72 games (+21.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 53 of their last 83 games (+17.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 50 of their last 81 games (+17.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 38 games (+13.25 Units / 28% ROI)
Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 58 games (+15.34 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+12.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 81 games (+11.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+8.90 Units / 176% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+6.95 Units / 20% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 41-25 (+13.6 Units / 18.47% ROI).
- 32-35 against the Moneyline (+15.65 Units / 18.54% ROI)
- 39-27 against the Over for game total points (+9.3 Units / 12.62% ROI)
- 27-39 against the Under for game total points (-15.9 Units / -21.57% ROI)
San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 27-39 (-15.9 Units / -21.9% ROI).
- 17-49 against the Moneyline (-6.55 Units / -9.82% ROI)
- 37-27 against the Over for game total points (+7.3 Units / 10.06% ROI)
- 27-37 against the Under for game total points (-13.7 Units / -18.87% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 66 games (-29.46 Units / -44% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 82 games (-24.47 Units / -26% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 4Q Spread in 23 of their last 66 games (-24.04 Units / -33% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-19.20 Units / -22% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the Spread in 22 of their last 59 games (-18.70 Units / -29% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 83 games (-30.75 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 70 games (-25.82 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 83 games (-22.10 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 83 games (-20.90 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 70 games (-18.55 Units / -24% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs
The Oklahoma City Thunder are 19-68 (.218) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Utah Jazz have averaged 45.8 rebounds per game (6,454 rebounds/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-highest among NBA teams.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are 8-43 (.157) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-worst among NBA teams. The Utah Jazz made 14.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-highest among NBA teams.
The Thunder are 26-45 (.366) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
The Thunder are 24-41 (.369) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The San Antonio Spurs are 4-30 (.118) when losing the rebounding margin this season — third-worst among NBA teams. The Houston Rockets have averaged 46.5 rebounds per game (2,881 rebounds/62 games) this season — fourth-highest among NBA teams.
The Spurs are 3-56 (.051) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .272
The Spurs are 8-22 (.267) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Spurs are 4-30 (.118) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .326
Injury Report: Spurs vs. Thunder – Sunday‘s Game, Mar. 12
- Keldon Johnson (Spurs): Johnson is questionable for Sunday’s (Mar. 12) game against Oklahoma City.
- Jeremy Sochan (Spurs): Sochan is questionable for Sunday’s (Mar. 12) game against Oklahoma City.
- Khem Birch (Spurs): Birch hasn’t played since Dec. 29 against Memphis and remains without a timetable to return.
- Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren is moving around is shooting again, according to Quenton Albertie of Clutch Points. He’s not expected to play this season as he recovers from a Lisfranc injury.
- Aleksej Pokusevski (Thunder): Pokusevski is starting to shoot again, according to Andrew Schlecht of The Athletic. No timetable has been announced for his return to action.
- Kenrich Williams (Thunder): The Thunder announced that Williams suffered a ligament rupture in his left wrist.
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 1.18 points per shot (11,288 points/9,537 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26
The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (2,353 assists/ 1,467 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Thunder have averaged 1.20 points per shot (22,998 points/19,141 shots) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
The Thunder are shooting 43% (4,145/9,537) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs have averaged 28.7 points in the paint per game (4,156 points/145 games) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8
The Spurs have a 21% free throw rate (1,465 free throw attempts/6,827 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%
The Spurs have averaged 54.1 points in the paint per game (3,948 points/73 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.0
The Spurs have averaged 1.21 points per shot (3,573 points/2,964 shots) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 32.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,912 rebounds/59 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1
The Thunder have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (7,367 rebounds/213 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9
The Thunder have 1,109 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th most among NBA teams
The Thunder have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (459 blocks/106 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs have averaged 31.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,972 rebounds/63 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0
The Spurs have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (248 blocks/63 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Spurs have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (4,787 rebounds/145 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.6
The Spurs have averaged 7.8 steals per game (566 steals/73 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
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