Thunder vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 2

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | FDOK | FDSW

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in San Antonio, TX, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Thunder vs Spurs Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 34-22 against the spread, while the Spurs are 25-33 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder O
San Antonio Spurs U

Spurs vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Spurs.

Spurs vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 58.3% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 69 of their last 91 games (+16.15 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 44 of their last 74 games (+15.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 36 away games (+14.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 32 games (+14.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 41 games (+13.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 64 games (+23.87 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 3Q Spread in 42 of their last 65 games (+15.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games at home (+13.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+7.95 Units / 30% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 34-22 (+9.8 Units / 14.85% ROI).

  • 48-12 against the Moneyline (+8.9 Units / 2.61% ROI)
  • 34-25 against the Over for game total points (+6.5 Units / 9.85% ROI)
  • 25-34 against the Under for game total points (-12.4 Units / -18.79% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 25-33 (-11.3 Units / -17.71% ROI).

  • 25-33 against the Moneyline (-6.1 Units / -7.51% ROI)
  • 30-27 against the Over for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.47% ROI)
  • 27-30 against the Under for game total points (-6 Units / -9.4% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 74 games (-16.13 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 80 games (-14.77 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 74 games (-14.35 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the Spread in 6 of their last 24 games (-13.80 Units / -52% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 68 games (-13.29 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 41 games (-18.80 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 56 games (-17.95 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 32 games (-17.30 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 76 games (-17.20 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 36 games (-15.60 Units / -12% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Thunder are 54-9 (.857) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585

The Thunder are 24-3 (.889) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Thunder are 40-6 (.870) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .637

The Thunder are 44-9 (.830) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Spurs are 8-21 (.276) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 6th-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have averaged 11.9 turnovers per game this season — lowest in the NBA.

The Spurs are 8-19 (.296) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Spurs were 3-11 (.214) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424

The Spurs are 5-39 (.114) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have shot 38% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-5th-best in the NBA.

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder had a TS% of 54% last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs are shooting 32% from three (85/269) in close and late situations this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Spurs averaged 51.4 points in the paint per game (4,214 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Spurs averaged 22% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (1,637 free throw attempts/7,437 field goal attempts) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%

The Spurs had a TS% of 51% last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (676 steals/71 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Thunder have averaged 10.8 steals per game (639 steals/59 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (1,333 steals/141 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (2,191/5,066) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (368 blocks/58 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Spurs have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (455 blocks/69 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Spurs averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,932 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs averaged 6.3 blocks per game (520 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.