Thunder vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 22

• The Spurs are -1.5 favorites vs. the Thunder
• Total (Over/Under): 217.5 points
• Watch the game on NBC | PEAC

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in San Antonio, TX.

The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-118).

The Thunder vs Spurs Over/Under is 217.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 43-44 against the spread, while the Spurs are 53-38 against the spread.

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Thunder vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Spurs vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Friday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Spurs.

Spurs vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.

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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 30 games (+16.65 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 away games (+15.75 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 30 away games (+15.25 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 22 of their last 30 away games (+12.75 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.18 Units / 28% ROI)

Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:

• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 45 games (+22.00 Units / 10% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.90 Units / 20% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games (+14.00 Units / 11% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+12.85 Units / 12% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.05 Units / 26% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 43-44 (-5.4 Units / -5.64% ROI).

• 68-19 against the Moneyline (+1.45 Units / 0.25% ROI)
• 48-39 against the Over for game total points (+5.1 Units / 5.33% ROI)
• 39-48 against the Under for game total points (-13.8 Units / -14.42% ROI)

San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 53-38 (+11.2 Units / 11.19% ROI).

• 68-23 against the Moneyline (+32.4 Units / 9.49% ROI)
• 42-48 against the Over for game total points (-10.8 Units / -10.79% ROI)
• 48-42 against the Under for game total points (+1.8 Units / 1.8% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:

• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 45 games (-16.40 Units / -33% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games (-16.20 Units / -35% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-13.80 Units / -24% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 25 games (-12.65 Units / -44% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games (-10.55 Units / -16% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (-28.25 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 away games (-17.85 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 35 away games (-16.48 Units / -41% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 2Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.40 Units / -27% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games (-13.96 Units / -15% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
• Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
• Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs
• Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Thunder are 50-12 (.806) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .497

The Thunder are 70-8 (.897) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Thunder are 32-4 (.889) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Thunder are 41-12 (.774) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .534

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Spurs are 13-2 (.867) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Spurs are 29-4 (.879) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .787

The Spurs are 26-2 (.929) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789

The Spurs are 31-3 (.912) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .723

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (1,031 turnovers/82 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Thunder have averaged 14.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,221 rebounds/82 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.9

The Thunder have averaged 12.1 turnovers per game (1,992 turnovers/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Thunder have a TS% of 54% on the road this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 62.2 points per game (5,102 points/82 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.2

The Spurs have an eFG% of 56% this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Spurs have averaged 16.3 fast break points per game (1,340 points/82 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2

The Spurs have averaged 119.8 points per game (9,826 points/82 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.7 steals per game (796 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Thunder have averaged 10.7 steals per game (900 steals/84 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,033 rebounds/82 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Thunder have averaged 9.8 steals per game (1,223 steals/125 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,123 rebounds/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Spurs have blocked 446 shots this season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Spurs have averaged 7.5 steals per game (617 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Spurs have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (446 blocks/82 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

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