Thunder vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 28

• The Spurs are -3.5 favorites vs. the Thunder
• Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
• Watch the game on NBC | PEAC

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in San Antonio, TX.

The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Thunder vs Spurs Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 45-45 against the spread, while the Spurs are 54-40 against the spread.

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Thunder vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Spurs vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Thursday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Spurs.

Spurs vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.

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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 30 games (+16.40 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 away games (+13.40 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 away games (+13.33 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 away games (+11.95 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.30 Units / 28% ROI)

Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:

• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 45 games (+20.00 Units / 9% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games (+14.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 45 games at home (+13.30 Units / 14% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.70 Units / 24% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 45-45 (-4.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• 70-20 against the Moneyline (+2.7 Units / 0.46% ROI)
• 50-40 against the Over for game total points (+6 Units / 6.06% ROI)
• 40-50 against the Under for game total points (-15 Units / -15.15% ROI)

San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 54-40 (+10 Units / 9.67% ROI).

• 69-25 against the Moneyline (+30.95 Units / 8.96% ROI)
• 44-49 against the Over for game total points (-9.9 Units / -9.57% ROI)
• 49-44 against the Under for game total points (+0.6 Units / 0.58% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:

• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.65 Units / -34% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 45 games (-16.35 Units / -32% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 30 games (-14.10 Units / -40% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-13.90 Units / -24% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-12.70 Units / -26% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (-19.15 Units / -18% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 35 away games (-18.58 Units / -47% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (-15.05 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 50 games (-13.45 Units / -13% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 45 games (-12.85 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
• Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
• Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs
• Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Thunder are 50-12 (.806) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .497

The Thunder are 28-2 (.933) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659

The Thunder are 33-4 (.892) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

The Thunder are 41-12 (.774) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .534

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Spurs are 13-2 (.867) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Spurs are 25-1 (.962) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .701

The Spurs are 44-9 (.830) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659

The Spurs are 55-19 (.743) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .497

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (1,031 turnovers/82 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Thunder have averaged 11.8 turnovers per game (990 turnovers/84 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Thunder have averaged 12.1 turnovers per game (1,992 turnovers/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Thunder have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (981 turnovers/164 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.2

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 62.2 points per game (5,102 points/82 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.2

The Spurs have averaged 28.1 assists per game (2,302 assists/82 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Spurs are shooting 48% (3,562/7,373) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Spurs have averaged 119.8 points per game (9,826 points/82 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 10.7 steals per game (900 steals/84 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (6,279/14,377) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 49% on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Thunder have allowed 12.0 fast break points per game (981 points/82 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.2

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,123 rebounds/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Spurs have blocked 446 shots this season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Spurs have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (446 blocks/82 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Spurs have averaged 7.5 steals per game (617 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

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