Thunder vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 25

• The Thunder are -9.5 favorites vs. the Suns
• Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
• Watch the game on NBC | PEAC

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Mortgage Matchup Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Thunder vs Suns Over/Under is 214.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 40-44 against the spread, while the Suns are 49-36 against the spread.

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Thunder vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Suns vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Saturday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Suns.

Suns vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 away games (+15.75 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 24 games (+15.65 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 away games (+13.45 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 22 of their last 30 away games (+12.75 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 away games (+10.48 Units / 30% ROI)

Suns Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.63 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+11.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+10.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.05 Units / 38% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 40-44 (-8.4 Units / -9.09% ROI).

• 66-18 against the Moneyline (+1.95 Units / 0.33% ROI)
• 45-39 against the Over for game total points (+2.1 Units / 2.27% ROI)
• 39-45 against the Under for game total points (-10.5 Units / -11.36% ROI)

Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 49-36 (+9.4 Units / 9.94% ROI).

• 46-40 against the Moneyline (+3.4 Units / 1.98% ROI)
• 39-46 against the Over for game total points (-11.6 Units / -12.26% ROI)
• 46-39 against the Under for game total points (+3.1 Units / 3.28% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:

• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 games (-25.30 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.85 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.66 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 35 games (-14.65 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.55 Units / -24% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (-22.55 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 45 away games (-20.20 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 30 away games (-14.98 Units / -44% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (-12.95 Units / -12% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (-12.92 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
• Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
• Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Phoenix Suns
• Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
• Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
• Phoenix Suns Defensive stats

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Thunder are 82-8 (.911) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .648

The Thunder are 90-14 (.865) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Thunder are 160-28 (.851) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .657

The Thunder are 26-5 (.839) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Suns are undefeated (17-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .788

The Suns are 3-20 (.130) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .213

The Suns are 67-38 (.638) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Suns are 26-16 (.619) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 12.1 turnovers per game (1,992 turnovers/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Thunder have averaged 6.3 turnovers per game (518 turnovers/82 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (981 turnovers/164 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.2

The Thunder are shooting 82% from the free throw line (2,099/2,562) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 42.0 points in the paint per game (1,722 points/41 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.9

The Suns have averaged 43.1 points in the paint per game (3,536 points/82 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Suns have averaged 42.0 points in the paint per game (3,442 points/82 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.6

The Suns have averaged 43.5 points in the paint per game (5,354 points/123 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.0

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 10.7 steals per game (900 steals/84 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (2,337 steals/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have averaged 9.8 steals per game (1,223 steals/125 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (1,451 blocks/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 32.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,673 rebounds/82 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Suns have 781 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Suns have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (468/1,394) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Suns have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (347 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

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