Thunder vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 27

• The Thunder are -10.5 favorites vs. the Suns
• Total (Over/Under): 213.5 points
• Watch the game on PEAC | NBCS

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Mortgage Matchup Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Thunder vs Suns Over/Under is 213.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 41-44 against the spread, while the Suns are 49-37 against the spread.

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Thunder vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Suns vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Monday‘s game with 63.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Suns.

Suns vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 30 away games (+18.45 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 25 games (+16.65 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 away games (+15.75 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 22 of their last 30 away games (+12.75 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.18 Units / 28% ROI)

Suns Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+11.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.48 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.05 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+11.00 Units / 20% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 41-44 (-7.4 Units / -7.91% ROI).

• 67-18 against the Moneyline (+2.95 Units / 0.5% ROI)
• 46-39 against the Over for game total points (+3.1 Units / 3.32% ROI)
• 39-46 against the Under for game total points (-11.6 Units / -12.41% ROI)

Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 49-37 (+8.3 Units / 8.67% ROI).

• 46-41 against the Moneyline (+2.4 Units / 1.39% ROI)
• 40-46 against the Over for game total points (-10.6 Units / -11.08% ROI)
• 46-40 against the Under for game total points (+2 Units / 2.09% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:

• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 games (-24.90 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.60 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.51 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 2Q Spread in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.45 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.80 Units / -26% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (-22.55 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 away games (-17.85 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 35 away games (-16.48 Units / -41% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 50 games (-16.00 Units / -15% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 games (-12.87 Units / -15% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
• Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
• Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Phoenix Suns
• Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
• Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
• Phoenix Suns Defensive stats

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Thunder are 90-14 (.865) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Thunder are 113-15 (.883) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .575

The Thunder are 98-15 (.867) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .599

The Thunder are 82-8 (.911) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .648

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Suns are 13-1 (.929) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .723

The Suns are undefeated (17-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .788

The Suns are 19-4 (.826) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .624

The Suns are undefeated (12-0) when their eFG is 60% or better this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .856

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 12.1 turnovers per game (1,992 turnovers/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Thunder have averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (1,031 turnovers/82 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Thunder have averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (3,031 turnovers/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Thunder have averaged 6.3 turnovers per game (518 turnovers/82 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns are shooting 46% (3,362/7,389) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Suns have averaged 1.25 points per shot (9,232 points/7,389 shots) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Suns have 20.3 free throw attempts per game this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (972 assists/ 631 TOs) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 10.7 steals per game (900 steals/84 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have averaged 9.8 steals per game (1,223 steals/125 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (2,337 steals/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (9,607/21,699) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 32.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,673 rebounds/82 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Suns have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (347 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Suns have averaged 9.5 steals per game (781 steals/82 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Suns have 781 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams

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