- The Suns (32-28) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Thunder (28-30)
- Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
- Friday, February 24, 2023 at 10:00pm EST
- Watch the game on ESPN & ESPN
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Phoenix.
The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Thunder vs Suns Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 37-21 against the spread, while the Suns are 32-28 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Oklahoma City Thunder | +8.5 -110 | O 227.5 -110 | +260 |
Phoenix Suns | -8.5 -110 | U 227.5 -110 | -350 |
Suns vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Suns will win Friday‘s game with 66.6% confidence.
Suns vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Thunder and Suns, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 48 of their last 79 games (+35.96 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 63 games (+22.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 46 of their last 72 games (+17.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 77 games (+16.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 79 games (+12.12 Units / 14% ROI)
Suns Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 41 of their last 61 games (+19.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.27 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+14.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 46 games at home (+12.67 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 46 games at home (+11.40 Units / 18% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 37-21 (+14 Units / 21.96% ROI).
- 28-30 against the Moneyline (+16.7 Units / 22.88% ROI)
- 32-25 against the Over for game total points (+4.5 Units / 7.05% ROI)
- 25-32 against the Under for game total points (-10.2 Units / -15.99% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 32-28 (+1.2 Units / 1.82% ROI).
- 32-28 against the Moneyline (-3.6 Units / -2.85% ROI)
- 28-31 against the Over for game total points (-6.1 Units / -9.24% ROI)
- 31-28 against the Under for game total points (+0.2 Units / 0.3% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 38 of their last 97 games (-26.70 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 36 of their last 79 games (-22.60 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 65 games (-20.79 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 56 games (-17.71 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 1H Spread in 35 of their last 86 games (-16.90 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 81 games (-28.35 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 82 games (-21.03 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 61 games (-20.21 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-19.80 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 79 games (-19.75 Units / -22% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Phoenix Suns
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Oklahoma City Thunder are 8-40 (.167) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-worst among NBA teams. The Utah Jazz made 14.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-highest among NBA teams.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are 19-64 (.229) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Utah Jazz have averaged 45.6 rebounds per game (6,288 rebounds/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for fourth-highest among NBA teams.
The Thunder are 11-12 (.478) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .529
The Thunder are 13-30 (.302) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .488
Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Phoenix Suns are 8-14 (.364) when they lose the turnover margin this season — fifth-worst among NBA teams. The Oklahoma City Thunder have averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (704 turnovers/54 games) this season — tied for sixth-lowest among NBA teams.
The Suns are 51-19 (.729) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559
The Suns are 54-11 (.831) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548
The Suns are 34-22 (.607) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .462
Injury Report: Suns vs. Thunder – Friday‘s Game, Feb. 24
- Kevin Durant (Suns): Durant is planning to make his return on Mar. 1 against Charlotte, according to Shams Charnia of The Athletic.
- Cameron Payne (Suns): Payne is questionable for Friday’s (Feb. 24) game against Oklahoma City.
- Landry Shamet (Suns): Shamet will be re-evaluated again next week, according to Duane Rankin of azcentral.
- Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren is moving around is shooting again, according to Quenton Albertie of Clutch Points. He’s not expected to play this season as he recovers from a Lisfranc injury.
- Aleksej Pokusevski (Thunder): Pokusevski is starting to shoot again, according to Andrew Schlecht of The Athletic. No timetable has been announced for his return to action.
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (2,296 assists/ 1,439 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (4,747 assists/ 2,902 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Thunder have averaged 1.18 points per shot (11,054 points/9,330 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26
The Thunder have averaged 1.18 points per shot (7,357 points/6,230 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,828 assists/ 887 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (5,727 assists/ 2,639 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,734 assists/ 1,318 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,867 assists/ 1,311 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 8.3 steals per game (447 steals/54 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Thunder have averaged 7.9 steals per game (1,069 steals/136 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Thunder have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (268 blocks/54 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Thunder have 1,069 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th most among NBA teams
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 7.7 steals per game (1,626 steals/211 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Suns have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (289 blocks/57 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Suns have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,828 rebounds/57 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0
The Suns have averaged 8.0 steals per game (850 steals/106 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
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