- The Suns (36-29) are -13.5 favorites vs. the Thunder (31-34)
- Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
- Wednesday, March 8, 2023 at 9:00pm EST
- Watch the game on BSAZ & BSOK
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Phoenix.
The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).
The Thunder vs Suns Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 40-24 against the spread, while the Suns are 35-28 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Oklahoma City Thunder | +13.5 -110 | O 233.5 -110 | +650 |
Phoenix Suns | -13.5 -110 | U 233.5 -110 | -1000 |
Suns vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Suns will win Wednesday‘s game with 76.6% confidence.
Suns vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Thunder and Suns, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
Bet now on Suns vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 48 of their last 79 games (+31.96 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 70 games (+21.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 53 of their last 81 games (+20.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 49 of their last 79 games (+17.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 50 of their last 83 games (+14.10 Units / 15% ROI)
Suns Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 43 of their last 66 games (+17.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+17.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have covered the 4Q Spread in 56 of their last 95 games (+13.73 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.91 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.20 Units / 29% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 40-24 (+13.7 Units / 19.17% ROI).
- 31-34 against the Moneyline (+15.65 Units / 19.02% ROI)
- 38-26 against the Over for game total points (+9.4 Units / 13.15% ROI)
- 26-38 against the Under for game total points (-15.8 Units / -22.1% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 35-28 (+4.2 Units / 5.87% ROI).
- 36-29 against the Moneyline (-0.6 Units / -0.43% ROI)
- 31-33 against the Over for game total points (-5.3 Units / -7.41% ROI)
- 33-31 against the Under for game total points (-1.1 Units / -1.54% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 90 games (-25.20 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 40 of their last 84 games (-20.84 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 70 games (-20.10 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 1H Spread in 36 of their last 91 games (-19.20 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 89 games (-18.40 Units / -12% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 83 games (-32.85 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 68 games (-23.72 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-22.99 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 83 games (-21.85 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 83 games (-20.90 Units / -23% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Phoenix Suns
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Oklahoma City Thunder are 19-68 (.218) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Utah Jazz have averaged 45.8 rebounds per game (6,454 rebounds/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-highest among NBA teams.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are 8-43 (.157) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-worst among NBA teams. The Utah Jazz made 14.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-highest among NBA teams.
The Thunder are 26-45 (.366) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
The Thunder are 24-41 (.369) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Phoenix Suns are 63-12 (.840) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The Chicago Bulls have averaged 42.5 rebounds per game (5,994 rebounds/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.
The Suns are 54-11 (.831) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551
The Suns are 37-9 (.804) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540
The Suns are 46-16 (.742) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541
Injury Report: Suns vs. Thunder – Wednesday‘s Game, Mar. 8
- Landry Shamet (Suns): Shamet will be re-evaluated again next week, according to Duane Rankin of azcentral.
- Jalen Williams (Thunder): Williams did not play in Tuesday’s (Mar. 7) game against Golden State.
- Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren is moving around is shooting again, according to Quenton Albertie of Clutch Points. He’s not expected to play this season as he recovers from a Lisfranc injury.
- Aleksej Pokusevski (Thunder): Pokusevski is starting to shoot again, according to Andrew Schlecht of The Athletic. No timetable has been announced for his return to action.
- Kenrich Williams (Thunder): The Thunder announced that Williams suffered a ligament rupture in his left wrist.
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 1.18 points per shot (11,288 points/9,537 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26
The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (2,353 assists/ 1,467 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Thunder have averaged 1.20 points per shot (22,998 points/19,141 shots) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
The Thunder are shooting 43% (4,145/9,537) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,860 assists/ 903 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (5,801 assists/ 2,674 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,766 assists/ 1,334 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,918 assists/ 1,335 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 32.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,912 rebounds/59 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1
The Thunder have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (7,367 rebounds/213 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9
The Thunder have 1,109 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th most among NBA teams
The Thunder have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (459 blocks/106 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (364 blocks/70 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Suns have blocked 308 shots this season — 8th most among NBA teams
The Suns have 1,126 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th most among NBA teams
The Suns have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (303 blocks/72 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
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