- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on Amazon | FDOK
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm in Minneapolis, MN.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Thunder vs Timberwolves Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 23-25 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 21-27 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | O | ||
| Minnesota Timberwolves | U |
Timberwolves vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Thursday‘s game with 62.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Timberwolves.
Timberwolves vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.8% confidence.
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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 away games (+10.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 away games (+8.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.65 Units / 54% ROI)
Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Moneyline in 36 of their last 50 games (+12.01 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+11.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+11.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2H Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.40 Units / 44% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 23-25 (-4.5 Units / -8.52% ROI).
- 38-10 against the Moneyline (-9.4 Units / -2.81% ROI)
- 24-24 against the Over for game total points (-2.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 24-24 against the Under for game total points (-2.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 21-27 (-8.75 Units / -16.56% ROI).
- 29-19 against the Moneyline (-14.2 Units / -9.5% ROI)
- 22-26 against the Over for game total points (-6.6 Units / -12.5% ROI)
- 26-22 against the Under for game total points (+1.8 Units / 3.41% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (-29.65 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 16 games at home (-18.30 Units / -62% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games at home (-17.75 Units / -7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 50 games at home (-15.95 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 24 games at home (-14.65 Units / -53% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (-31.75 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 23 games (-25.30 Units / -45% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 away games (-21.85 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 away games (-17.45 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.85 Units / -29% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Thunder are 17-1 (.944) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .632
The Thunder are 28-6 (.824) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .492
The Thunder are 71-7 (.910) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .640
The Thunder are 85-11 (.885) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .597
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Timberwolves are 14-9 (.609) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .519
The Timberwolves are 14-8 (.636) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .481
The Timberwolves are 15-2 (.882) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .782
The Timberwolves were 24-2 (.923) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (587 turnovers/48 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.6 (119 assists/ 46 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Thunder have averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (2,587 turnovers/212 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 1.40 points per shot (2,886 points/2,061 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Timberwolves have averaged 119.0 points per game (5,710 points/48 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.7
The Timberwolves have a 29% free throw rate (1,241 free throw attempts/4,269 field goal attempts) this season — 6th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%
The Timberwolves averaged 13.6 fast break points per game (1,112 points/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 11.0 steals per game (748 steals/68 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Thunder have averaged 9.8 steals per game (1,071 steals/109 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9
The Thunder averaged 10.3 steals per game (847 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Thunder allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,505/3,504) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,733 rebounds/48 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0
The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% at home in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%
The Timberwolves averaged 7.9 steals per game (647 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
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