Thunder vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 26, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Thunder (36-38) are -8.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers (32-41)
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 7:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW & BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Moda Center to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Portland.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Thunder vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 45-28 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 35-38 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder-10.5 -110O 232.5 -110-500
Portland Trail Blazers +10.5 -110U 232.5 -110+375

Trail Blazers vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 70.6% confidence.

Trail Blazers vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 55.7% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Thunder and Trail Blazers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 48 of their last 83 games (+24.34 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 79 games (+23.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 45 of their last 74 games (+14.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 77 games (+12.67 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games (+11.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 28 games at home (+15.07 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 44 games (+9.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.06 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+8.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 43% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 45-28 (+14.3 Units / 17.58% ROI).

  • 36-38 against the Moneyline (+17.85 Units / 19.32% ROI)
  • 42-31 against the Over for game total points (+7.9 Units / 9.71% ROI)
  • 31-42 against the Under for game total points (-15.2 Units / -18.67% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 35-38 (-6.8 Units / -8.47% ROI).

  • 32-41 against the Moneyline (-4.3 Units / -4.02% ROI)
  • 37-35 against the Over for game total points (-1.5 Units / -1.87% ROI)
  • 35-37 against the Under for game total points (-5.7 Units / -7.1% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 21 of their last 59 games (-22.04 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-20.42 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 59 games (-19.90 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 60 games (-17.94 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 56 games (-15.98 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 77 games (-24.70 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 77 games (-23.67 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 83 games (-22.25 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 81 games (-19.73 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 77 games (-17.72 Units / -21% ROI)

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Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 6-32 (.158) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — fifth-worst among NBA teams. The Brooklyn Nets has shot 37% from three (1,811/4,864) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-best among NBA teams.

The Thunder are 1-33 (.029) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240

The Thunder are 14-86 (.140) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225

The Thunder are 4-39 (.093) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .161

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Portland Trail Blazers are 20-57 (.260) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for sixth-worst among NBA teams. The New York Knicks have averaged 55.6 rebounds per game (8,451 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-highest among NBA teams.

The Portland Trail Blazers are 30-57 (.345) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The New York Knicks have averaged 13.1 turnovers per game (1,988 turnovers/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fifth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Portland Trail Blazers are 10-34 (.227) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for eighth-worst among NBA teams. The New York Knicks made 12.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-highest among NBA teams.

The Trail Blazers are 19-53 (.264) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

Injury Report: Trail Blazers vs. ThunderSunday‘s Game, Mar. 26

  • Justise Winslow (Trail Blazers): Winslow has not played since Dec. 21. No timetable has been announced for his return to action.
  • Ibou Badji (Trail Blazers): The Trail Blazers announced that Badji will have surgery on his left knee and is expected to miss eight weeks.
  • Jerami Grant (Trail Blazers): Grant is out for Sunday’s (Mar. 26) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Damian Lillard (Trail Blazers): Lillard is out for Sunday’s (Mar. 26) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Jusuf Nurkic (Trail Blazers): Nurkic is out for Sunday’s (Mar. 26) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Anfernee Simons (Trail Blazers): Simons is out for Sunday’s (Mar. 26) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren is moving around is shooting again, according to Quenton Albertie of Clutch Points. He’s not expected to play this season as he recovers from a Lisfranc injury.
  • Kenrich Williams (Thunder): The Thunder announced that Williams suffered a ligament rupture in his left wrist.

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 43% (4,298/9,883) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Thunder have a TS% of 48% on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Thunder have averaged 1.19 points per shot (11,739 points/9,883 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (879/2,666) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,662 assists/ 1,108 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Trail Blazers have averaged 20.9 points in the paint per game (4,644 points/222 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.2

The Trail Blazers shot 39% from three (1,131/2,936) in the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Trail Blazers have averaged 106.7 points per game (8,214 points/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.2

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (8,103 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0

The Thunder have 76 steals in the last two weeks — most among NBA teams

The Thunder have averaged 8.4 steals per game (571 steals/68 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have 1,193 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th most among NBA teams

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,109 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.8

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,288 rebounds/68 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (491 blocks/113 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Trail Blazers have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (7,685 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0


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