Thunder vs Warriors Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Jan. 2

• The Thunder are -13.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
• Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
• Watch the game on Amazon | FDOK | NSBA

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-115).

The Thunder vs Warriors Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 18-16 against the spread, while the Warriors are 16-18 against the spread.

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Thunder vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Warriors vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Friday‘s game with 73.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Warriors.

Warriors vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 82 games (+22.75 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 55 of their last 93 games (+14.30 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1H Spread in 46 of their last 78 games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 38 away games (+8.05 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 58 games (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)

Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 18 games (+14.95 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 90 games (+12.30 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 39 of their last 63 games (+11.55 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.50 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 44 games (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 18-16 (+0.4 Units / 1.07% ROI).

• 29-5 against the Moneyline (+13.9 Units / 5.45% ROI)
• 18-16 against the Over for game total points (+0.4 Units / 1.07% ROI)
• 16-18 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units / -10.16% ROI)

Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 16-18 (-3.8 Units / -10.16% ROI).

• 18-16 against the Moneyline (-8.75 Units / -10.91% ROI)
• 21-13 against the Over for game total points (+6.7 Units / 17.91% ROI)
• 13-21 against the Under for game total points (-10.1 Units / -27.01% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:

• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 95 games (-35.35 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 95 games (-29.35 Units / -15% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 62 games (-28.80 Units / -17% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 36 of their last 95 games (-28.60 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 87 games (-22.75 Units / -23% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 95 games (-28.80 Units / -17% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 46 away games (-24.05 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 41 away games (-20.75 Units / -16% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 93 games (-20.10 Units / -19% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 4Q Spread in 43 of their last 100 games (-19.45 Units / -17% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
• Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
• Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors
• Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
• Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
• Golden State Warriors Defensive stats

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Thunder have averaged 9.6 steals per game (1,896 steals/198 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Thunder have averaged 11.3 steals per game (688 steals/61 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have averaged 10.4 steals per game (1,202 steals/116 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have allowed 38.9 points in the paint per game (1,324 points/34 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.0

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Warriors were 24-1 (.960) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .818

The Warriors are 26-10 (.722) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .621

The Warriors were 11-4 (.733) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .627

The Warriors are 3-7 (.300) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .375

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.6 steals per game (1,896 steals/198 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Thunder have averaged 11.3 steals per game (688 steals/61 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have averaged 10.4 steals per game (1,202 steals/116 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have allowed 38.9 points in the paint per game (1,324 points/34 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.0

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors were 24-1 (.960) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .818

The Warriors are 26-10 (.722) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .621

The Warriors were 11-4 (.733) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .627

The Warriors are 3-7 (.300) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .375

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.6 steals per game (1,896 steals/198 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Thunder have averaged 11.3 steals per game (688 steals/61 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have averaged 10.4 steals per game (1,202 steals/116 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have allowed 38.9 points in the paint per game (1,324 points/34 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.0

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors were 24-1 (.960) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .818

The Warriors are 26-10 (.722) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .621

The Warriors were 11-4 (.733) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .627

The Warriors are 3-7 (.300) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .375

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