- The Warriors (27-26) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Thunder (25-27)
- Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
- Monday, February 6, 2023 at 10:00pm EST
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA & BSOK
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Thunder vs Warriors Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 33-19 against the spread, while the Warriors are 24-28 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Oklahoma City Thunder | +3.5 -110 | O 233.5 -115 | +140 |
Golden State Warriors | -3.5 -110 | U 233.5 -115 | -165 |
Warriors vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Monday‘s game with 58.6% confidence.
Warriors vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Thunder and Warriors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 47 of their last 78 games (+36.44 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 78 games (+23.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 78 games (+17.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 49 of their last 80 games (+16.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 73 games (+14.22 Units / 18% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 60 of their last 98 games (+18.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 59 games (+15.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 46 games at home (+13.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 41 games (+13.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+13.22 Units / 29% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 33-19 (+12.2 Units / 21.35% ROI).
- 25-27 against the Moneyline (+15.8 Units / 25.04% ROI)
- 29-22 against the Over for game total points (+4.8 Units / 8.39% ROI)
- 22-29 against the Under for game total points (-9.9 Units / -17.31% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 24-28 (-6.8 Units / -11.66% ROI).
- 27-26 against the Moneyline (-24.1 Units / -19.09% ROI)
- 31-21 against the Over for game total points (+7.9 Units / 13.55% ROI)
- 21-31 against the Under for game total points (-13.1 Units / -22.47% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 100 games (-31.46 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 88 games (-27.96 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 100 games (-26.60 Units / -11% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 99 games (-25.21 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 97 games (-22.28 Units / -20% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 78 games (-29.15 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 82 games (-23.70 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 78 games (-21.70 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 82 games (-18.87 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 78 games (-18.50 Units / -21% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Oklahoma City Thunder are 14-35 (.286) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-worst among NBA teams. The Atlanta Hawks have averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (1,524 turnovers/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-lowest among NBA teams.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are 4-27 (.129) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-worst among NBA teams. The Atlanta Hawks has shot 36% from three (1,564/4,294) since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-best among NBA teams.
The Thunder are 12-59 (.169) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317
The Thunder are 25-41 (.379) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Warriors are 25-18 (.581) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506
The Warriors are 26-12 (.684) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577
The Warriors are 50-9 (.847) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .781
The Warriors are 63-26 (.708) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .578
Injury Report: Warriors vs. Thunder – Monday‘s Game, Feb. 6
- Stephen Curry (Warriors): Curry is expected to miss multiple weeks with a left leg injury, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.
- Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala hasn’t played since Jan. 13 against San Antonio and it’s unclear when he’ll return to the lineup.
- Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren will miss the 2022-23 season with Lisfranc injury to his right foot, according to Adrian Wojnarowsk of ESPN.
- Aleksej Pokusevski (Thunder): Thunder announced Pokusevski suffered a non-displaced tibial plateau fracture in his left leg and will be reevaluated in 6-8 weeks.
- Luguentz Dort (Thunder): Thunder coach Mark Daigneault said Dort is certainly not close to playing, according to Rylan Stiles of BricktownBuckets.com.
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 1.18 points per shot (10,701 points/9,042 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26
The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (4,560 assists/ 2,820 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (1,206/3,646) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have averaged 1.20 points per shot (13,985 points/11,665 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have made 16.4 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
The Warriors have made 15.6 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6
The Warriors have 20.3 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.6
The Warriors have 20.3 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.8
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (243 blocks/47 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Thunder have 1,000 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th most among NBA teams
The Thunder have 378 steals this season — 8th most among NBA teams
The Thunder have averaged 7.8 steals per game (1,000 steals/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (7,017 rebounds/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9
The Warriors have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,050 steals/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Warriors have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,527 rebounds/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7
The Warriors have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (181 blocks/47 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
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