Oklahoma City Thunder vs Washington Wizards Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 16, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Wizards (3-3) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Thunder (3-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Wednesday, November 16, 2022 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-DC & BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Washington.

The Wizards are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Thunder vs Wizards Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 9-5 against the spread, while the Wizards are 9-5 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder+5.5 -115O 228.5 -110165
Washington Wizards -5.5 -105U 228.5 -110-200

Wizards vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Wizards will win Wednesday‘s game with 61.5% confidence.

Wizards vs Thunder Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Thunder and Wizards, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 games (+18.32 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 50 of their last 83 games (+17.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 48 games (+15.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 57 games (+14.48 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 2H Moneyline in 43 of their last 75 games (+16.51 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 58 games (+13.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 75 games (+12.66 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games (+10.60 Units / 38% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 9-5 (+3.55 Units / 23.13% ROI).

  • 6-8 against the Moneyline (+4.2 Units / 28.28% ROI)
  • 9-5 against the Over for game total points (+3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI)
  • 5-9 against the Under for game total points (-4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 9-5 (+3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI).

  • 8-6 against the Moneyline (+2.85 Units / 16.19% ROI)
  • 6-8 against the Over for game total points (-2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI)
  • 8-6 against the Under for game total points (+1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 82 games (-28.20 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 82 games (-24.50 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 82 games (-23.30 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the Spread in 32 of their last 83 games (-20.70 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 2Q Spread in 34 of their last 82 games (-18.83 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 64 games (-27.45 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 57 games (-22.31 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 81 games (-19.50 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 81 games (-17.70 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 63 games (-17.53 Units / -25% ROI)

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Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 11-47 (.190) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Boston Celtics have averaged 45.1 rebounds per game (4,280 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-highest among NBA teams.

The Thunder are winless (0-31) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .141

The Thunder are 17-34 (.333) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Thunder are 6-15 (.286) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Wizards are 27-38 (.415) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Wizards are 33-48 (.407) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Wizards are 17-31 (.354) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .494

The Wizards are 11-22 (.333) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

Injury Report: Wizards vs. ThunderWednesday‘s Game, Nov. 16

  • Delon Wright (Wizards): Wright is expected to miss 6-8 weeks with a grade two strain, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Tre Mann (Thunder): Mann is out for Wednesday’s (Nov. 16) game against Washington.
  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren will miss the 2022-23 season with Lisfranc injury to his right foot, according to Adrian Wojnarowsk of ESPN.
  • Darius Bazley (Thunder): Bazley is out for Wednesday’s (Nov. 16) game against Washington.

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (2,000/6,055) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 1.19 points per shot (8,637 points/7,246 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Thunder have an eFG% of 50% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Thunder have averaged 1.17 points per shot (8,646 points/7,398 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.25

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have made 9.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Wizards have made 10.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Wizards are shooting 28% from three (48/172) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Wizards have 21.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.4

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.2 steals per game (119 steals/13 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Thunder have averaged 7.8 steals per game (742 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Thunder have blocked 81 shots this season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Thunder have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (81 blocks/13 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 5.9 steals per game (82 steals/14 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Wizards have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (500 rebounds/14 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Wizards have blocked 486 shots since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Wizards have averaged 6.4 steals per game (313 steals/49 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.