Timberwolves vs Bulls Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 17, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Bulls (31-37) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (35-35)
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Friday, March 17, 2023 at 8:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CHI & BSN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit United Center to take on the Chicago Bulls on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Chicago.

The Bulls are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Bulls Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 34-36 against the spread, while the Bulls are 31-35 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Bulls Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+2.5 -110O 224.5 -110+120
Chicago Bulls -2.5 -110U 224.5 -110-145

Bulls vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bulls will win Friday‘s game with 56.5% confidence.

Bulls vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bulls will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Timberwolves and Bulls, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 76 games (+18.79 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 38 away games (+18.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 55 of their last 88 games (+17.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 40 away games (+16.92 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 52 of their last 88 games (+13.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 77 games (+19.03 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 39 of their last 61 games (+15.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 1Q Spread in 37 of their last 59 games (+14.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 86 games (+12.50 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 34-36 (-5.6 Units / -7.27% ROI).

  • 35-35 against the Moneyline (-9.85 Units / -8.18% ROI)
  • 33-37 against the Over for game total points (-7.7 Units / -10% ROI)
  • 37-33 against the Under for game total points (+0.7 Units / 0.91% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 31-35 (-7.6 Units / -10.15% ROI).

  • 31-37 against the Moneyline (-5.2 Units / -5.26% ROI)
  • 29-39 against the Over for game total points (-13.9 Units / -18.58% ROI)
  • 39-29 against the Under for game total points (+7.1 Units / 9.49% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 77 games (-28.64 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 86 games (-22.25 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 86 games (-21.85 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 86 games (-21.10 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 84 games (-18.38 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 28 of their last 81 games (-40.97 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 84 games (-28.68 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 87 games (-22.40 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 40 away games (-22.31 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 87 games (-19.10 Units / -12% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 23-34 (.404) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Chicago Bulls have averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (1,990 turnovers/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Timberwolves are 20-64 (.238) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .277

The Timberwolves are 12-58 (.171) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .227

The Timberwolves are 23-34 (.404) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Chicago Bulls are 47-18 (.723) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-best among NBA teams. The Minnesota Timberwolves have averaged 51.1 rebounds per game (7,765 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th-lowest among NBA teams.

The Bulls are winless (0-11) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .120

The Bulls are 13-27 (.325) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .356

The Bulls are 19-6 (.760) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

Injury Report: Bulls vs. TimberwolvesFriday‘s Game, Mar. 17

  • Justin Lewis (Bulls): Lewis tore his ACL in an offseason workout. He is out indefinitely.
  • Javonte Green (Bulls): Green is doubtful for Friday’s (Mar.17) game against Minnesota.
  • Alex Caruso (Bulls): Caruso is questionable for Friday’s (Mar. 17) game against Minnesota.
  • Lonzo Ball (Bulls): The Bulls are expected to shut Ball down for the rest of the season, according to Shams Charnia of The Athletic.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): The Timberwolves announced that they expect Towns to return in the coming weeks.
  • Jaylen Nowell (Timberwolves): Nowell hasn’t played since Feb. 24 against Charlotte and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Naz Reid (Timberwolves): Reid is questionable for Friday’s (Mar.17) game against Chicago.
  • Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves): Gobert is questionable for Friday’s (Mar.17) game against Chicago.
  • Austin Rivers (Timberwolves): Rivers is questionable for Friday’s (Mar.17) game against Chicago.

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have a TS% of 52% this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves shot 35% from three (944/2,706) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,800 assists/ 1,087 TOs) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 15.0 fast break points per game (1,049 points/70 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 5.3 second chance points per game (802 points/150 games) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Bulls have made 10.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

The Bulls have averaged 5.6 second chance points per game (1,245 points/222 games) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Bulls have made 10.5 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.6 steals per game (1,928 steals/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (1,245 blocks/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.5 steals per game (1,296 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have 575 steals this season — 5th most among NBA teams

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,472 rebounds/68 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bulls have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (942 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Bulls have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (317 blocks/75 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Bulls have averaged 7.6 steals per game (515 steals/68 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.