Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 31

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The Minnesota Timberwolves visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Memphis, TN.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 22-27 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 19-27 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves O
Memphis Grizzlies U

Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Saturday‘s game with 71.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 55.4% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 away games (+16.61 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2H Spread in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.09 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 away games (+10.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 away games (+10.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 8 away games (+8.35 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+14.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 2Q Spread in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.00 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 22-27 (-7.75 Units / -14.37% ROI).

  • 30-19 against the Moneyline (-12.5 Units / -8.31% ROI)
  • 23-26 against the Over for game total points (-5.6 Units / -10.39% ROI)
  • 26-23 against the Under for game total points (+0.7 Units / 1.3% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 19-27 (-10.7 Units / -21.15% ROI).

  • 18-28 against the Moneyline (-15.7 Units / -24.69% ROI)
  • 19-27 against the Over for game total points (-10.7 Units / -21.15% ROI)
  • 27-19 against the Under for game total points (+6.1 Units / 12.06% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-20.75 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.26 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games (-15.15 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.00 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the Spread in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-12.50 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (-27.25 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 30 away games (-15.08 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 30 away games (-14.90 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (-14.35 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.45 Units / -22% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Timberwolves are 64-22 (.744) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-7th-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 30-19 (.612) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .508

The Timberwolves are 65-11 (.855) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .774

The Timberwolves are 15-9 (.625) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .516

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Grizzlies were 7-1 (.875) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Grizzlies were 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

The Grizzlies are 4-1 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .576

The Grizzlies were 1-6 (.143) when forcing fewer than 5 steals in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves shot 39% from three (592/1,527) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (1,448/3,781) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (1,016 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.40 points per shot (2,946 points/2,102 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 49% in the second half in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,222 points/3,480 shots) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Timberwolves averaged 7.9 steals per game (647 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have 429 steals this season — 9th most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves have blocked 276 shots this season — 4th most among NBA teams

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (239 blocks/46 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Grizzlies averaged 8.2 steals per game (673 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Grizzlies forced 16.2 turnovers per game (663 turnovers/41 games) at home in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Grizzlies allowed 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (825 rebounds/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.