Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Grizzlies (4-2) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (4-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Friday, November 11, 2022 at 9:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSE & BSN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Memphis.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 4-8 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 4-7 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+4.5 -115O 234.5 -110145
Memphis Grizzlies -4.5 -105U 234.5 -110-175

Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Friday‘s game with 62.4% confidence.

Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Timberwolves and Grizzlies, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 39 away games (+15.88 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 54 of their last 89 games (+15.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 84 games (+14.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1H Spread in 52 of their last 87 games (+14.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 36 games (+11.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 62 of their last 87 games (+33.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 61 of their last 93 games (+27.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 61 of their last 93 games (+25.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 59 of their last 87 games (+25.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 93 games (+24.15 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 4-8 (-4.8 Units / -36.23% ROI).

  • 5-7 against the Moneyline (-8.95 Units / -25.54% ROI)
  • 4-8 against the Over for game total points (-4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI)
  • 8-4 against the Under for game total points (+3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 4-7 (-3.7 Units / -28.03% ROI).

  • 8-4 against the Moneyline (+2.95 Units / 11.09% ROI)
  • 6-5 against the Over for game total points (+0.5 Units / 3.79% ROI)
  • 5-6 against the Under for game total points (-1.6 Units / -12.12% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 94 games (-24.54 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 93 games (-23.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 86 games (-20.92 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 60 games (-20.55 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 92 games (-20.53 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 80 games (-25.14 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 86 games (-23.20 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 90 games (-20.77 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 29 games (-18.20 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 87 games (-18.10 Units / -18% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Timberwolves are 4-15 (.211) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

The Timberwolves are 26-6 (.812) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .612

The Timberwolves were 23-3 (.885) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .749

The Timberwolves were 24-12 (.667) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Grizzlies were 45-13 (.776) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

The Grizzlies were 50-11 (.820) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .693

The Grizzlies are 19-1 (.950) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .749

The Grizzlies were 21-11 (.656) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. TimberwolvesFriday‘s Game, Nov. 11

  • Jaren Jackson Jr. (Grizzlies): The Grizzlies announced that F Jaren Jackson Jr. underwent surgery and his recovery time is 4-6 months.
  • Danny Green (Grizzlies): The 76ers announced that Green has a torn ACL and LCL in his left knee.
  • Ziaire Williams (Grizzlies): The Grizzlies announced that Williams is expected to return in 4-6 weeks.
  • Naz Reid (Timberwolves): Reid did not play in Wednesday’s (Nov. 9) game against Phoenix.
  • Austin Rivers (Timberwolves): Rivers did not play in Wednesday’s (Nov. 9) game against Phoenix.

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

The Timberwolves averaged 13.7 turnovers per game (1,113 turnovers/81 games) last season — tied for 7th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Timberwolves averaged 115.8 points per game (9,379 points/81 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 110.0

The Timberwolves averaged 118.2 points per game (4,728 points/40 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 109.1

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 12.6 offensive rebounds per game (1,931 rebounds/153 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1

The Grizzlies averaged 56.8 points in the paint per game (4,598 points/81 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.0

The Grizzlies averaged 28.4 points in the paint per game (2,268 points/80 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

The Grizzlies averaged 57.5 points in the paint per game (2,358 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.5

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.8 steals per game (1,342 steals/153 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Timberwolves averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/81 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.9 steals per game (678 steals/76 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Timberwolves averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,667 rebounds/81 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 9.7 steals per game (787 steals/81 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 10.0 steals per game (398 steals/40 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.7 steals per game (787 steals/81 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,442 steals/153 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.