Timberwolves vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 13, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Hawks (34-34) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (34-34)
  • Total (Over/Under): 244.5 points
  • Monday, March 13, 2023 at 7:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSSE & BSN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Hawks Over/Under is 244.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 32-36 against the spread, while the Hawks are 30-37 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+5.5 -110O 244.5 -115+170
Atlanta Hawks -5.5 -110U 244.5 -115-210

Hawks vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Monday‘s game with 61.4% confidence.

Hawks vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Timberwolves and Hawks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 55 of their last 88 games (+17.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 37 away games (+17.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 74 games (+16.79 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 39 away games (+15.92 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 53 of their last 88 games (+14.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 49 games (+12.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.29 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 66 games (+9.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 82 games (+8.53 Units / 9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 32-36 (-7.6 Units / -10.15% ROI).

  • 34-34 against the Moneyline (-10.5 Units / -8.87% ROI)
  • 32-36 against the Over for game total points (-7.6 Units / -10.16% ROI)
  • 36-32 against the Under for game total points (+0.8 Units / 1.07% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 30-37 (-10.7 Units / -14.3% ROI).

  • 34-34 against the Moneyline (-13.55 Units / -11.2% ROI)
  • 39-29 against the Over for game total points (+7.1 Units / 9.49% ROI)
  • 29-39 against the Under for game total points (-13.9 Units / -18.58% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 39 of their last 91 games (-30.24 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 63 games (-27.31 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 88 games (-21.37 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 23 of their last 63 games (-21.20 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 79 games (-19.41 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 28 of their last 79 games (-38.97 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 82 games (-26.49 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 87 games (-22.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 41 away games (-21.25 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 85 games (-19.75 Units / -13% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Timberwolves are 45-24 (.652) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .569

The Timberwolves are 26-53 (.329) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432

The Timberwolves are 18-9 (.667) when they win the turnover margin this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

The Timberwolves are 10-57 (.149) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Atlanta Hawks are 4-12 (.250) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 10th-worst among NBA teams. The Portland Trail Blazers has shot 37% from three (764/2,044) this season — eighth-best among NBA teams.

The Atlanta Hawks are 48-26 (.649) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th-best among NBA teams. The Portland Trail Blazers have averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (1,939 turnovers/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for seventh-highest among NBA teams.

The Hawks are 58-11 (.841) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .780

The Hawks are 24-26 (.480) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

Injury Report: Hawks vs. TimberwolvesMonday‘s Game, Mar. 13

  • Bogdan Bogdanovic (Hawks): Bogdanovic is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 13) game against Minnesota.
  • Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves): Gobert is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 13) game against Atlanta.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): The hope is that Towns is able to come back for the teams’ final 10-15 games of the season, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic. This timetable would put his possible return for mid-to-late March.
  • Jaylen Nowell (Timberwolves): Nowell hasn’t played since Feb. 24 against Charlotte and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Austin Rivers (Timberwolves): Rivers is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 13) game against Atlanta.

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 116.3 points per game (8,028 points/69 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.0

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.33 points per shot (7,046 points/5,314 shots) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Timberwolves shot 35% from three (944/2,706) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,552 assists/ 928 TOs) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (5,198 assists/ 2,571 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Hawks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (1,269 turnovers/213 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Hawks have averaged 12.4 turnovers per game (733 turnovers/59 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Hawks have averaged 11.5 turnovers per game (796 turnovers/69 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.6 steals per game (1,225 steals/143 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (339 blocks/61 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.6 steals per game (1,857 steals/215 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have 1,225 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd most among NBA teams

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 6.5 steals per game (469 steals/72 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hawks have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,968 rebounds/59 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1

The Hawks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (728 steals/108 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Hawks have blocked 291 shots this season — tied for 10th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.