Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Odds, Lines, Picks & Predictions – NBA, Mar. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 12, 2022, 12:55 PM
  • The Heat (38-21) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (32-28)
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Saturday, March 12, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSUN & BSN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit FTX Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Miami.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 36-30 against the spread, while the Heat are 40-27 against the spread.

The Timberwolves vs Heat Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.


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Timberwolves vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+6.5 -115O 228.5 -110200
Miami Heat -6.5 -105U 228.5 -110-250

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone:

  • 36-30 against the Spread (+3 Units / 4.01% ROI)
  • 38-30 against the Moneyline (+2.4 Units / 1.67% ROI)
  • 41-27 against the Over for game total points (+11.3 Units / 15.11% ROI)
  • 27-41 against the Under for game total points (-18.1 Units / -24.2% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 51 games (+19.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 54 games (+15.97 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 21 away games (+14.70 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 26 away games (+14.33 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 42 games (+13.88 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 53 games (-24.70 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 54 games (-23.49 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 47 games (-19.10 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 2Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 29 away games (-17.11 Units / -54% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 30 away games (-13.01 Units / -34% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone:

  • 40-27 against the Spread (+10.2 Units / 13.62% ROI)
  • 45-23 against the Moneyline (+20.35 Units / 12.22% ROI)
  • 40-28 against the Over for game total points (+9.2 Units / 12.3% ROI)
  • 28-40 against the Under for game total points (-16 Units / -21.39% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the Moneyline in 38 of their last 56 games (+21.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 47 games (+17.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 42 games (+15.16 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 46 games (+14.72 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 63 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 63 games (-23.02 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 50 games (-19.27 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 63 games (-18.90 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 63 games (-18.25 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 67 games (-13.45 Units / -18% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Timberwolves were 5-22 (.185) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Timberwolves were 8-21 (.276) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Timberwolves were 10-44 (.185) when allowing 110 or more points last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .321

The Timberwolves are 1-27 (.036) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .132

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Heat are 27-10 (.730) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Heat are 19-7 (.731) when they win the turnover margin this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .561

The Heat are 23-8 (.742) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .535

The Heat are 12-4 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .524

Injury Report: Heat vs. TimberwolvesSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 12

  • Markieff Morris (Heat): Morris has not played in a few months an no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Caleb Martin (Heat): Martin did not play in Friday’s game (Mar. 11) against the Cavaliers.
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Timberwolves): Vanderbilt is out for Saturday’s (Mar. 12) game against Miami.
  • Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves): Edwards is probable for Saturday’s (Mar. 12) game against Miami.
  • Patrick Beverley (Timberwolves): Beverley is doubtful for Saturday’s (Mar. 12) game against Miami.
  • Jordan McLaughlin (Timberwolves): McLaughlin is questionable for Saturday’s (Mar. 12) game against Miami.

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 0.50 points per possession (6,294 points/13,177 possessions) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 0.53

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (560 rebounds/45 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.3

The Timberwolves have made 14.3 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Timberwolves have averaged 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (1,317 rebounds/117 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.0

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (579 rebounds/72 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 9.8

The Heat are shooting 37% from three (605/1,617) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Heat have made 605 three-pointers this season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Heat attempted 2,606 threes last season — 10th most among NBA teams

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,481 rebounds/45 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.3

The Timberwolves averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,376 rebounds/72 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.4

The Timberwolves have blocked 260 shots this season — 3rd most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves have 394 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (217 blocks/61 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (436 blocks/117 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (150 blocks/45 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat averaged 4.0 blocks per game (286 blocks/72 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.