Timberwolves vs Heat Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Jan. 3

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  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Miami, FL.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Timberwolves vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 13-21 against the spread, while the Heat are 19-14 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves O
Miami Heat U

Heat vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Saturday‘s game with 58.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Heat.

Heat vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 61.4% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Moneyline in 60 of their last 82 games (+29.16 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 61 of their last 93 games (+22.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2H Spread in 60 of their last 97 games (+21.37 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 58 of their last 93 games (+19.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 47 away games (+9.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 55 of their last 89 games (+24.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 52 of their last 88 games (+24.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 56 of their last 88 games (+22.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 55 of their last 89 games (+18.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.00 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 13-21 (-10.15 Units / -27.1% ROI).

  • 21-13 against the Moneyline (-7.45 Units / -6.35% ROI)
  • 15-19 against the Over for game total points (-5.9 Units / -15.78% ROI)
  • 19-15 against the Under for game total points (+2.5 Units / 6.68% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 19-14 (+3.6 Units / 9.63% ROI).

  • 19-15 against the Moneyline (+1.95 Units / 3.45% ROI)
  • 16-17 against the Over for game total points (-2.7 Units / -7.22% ROI)
  • 17-16 against the Under for game total points (-0.6 Units / -1.6% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 90 games (-30.48 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 31 of their last 85 games (-27.99 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 34 of their last 87 games (-25.13 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 84 games (-21.40 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 38 of their last 90 games (-19.95 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 85 games (-42.15 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 38 of their last 98 games (-27.10 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 85 games (-27.00 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 36 games (-20.10 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 95 games (-18.85 Units / -17% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Timberwolves are 11-4 (.733) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .620

The Timberwolves are 12-3 (.800) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .582

The Timberwolves were 1-10 (.091) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better in the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142

The Timberwolves were 18-12 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (375 blocks/99 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (748 blocks/198 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are 11-4 (.733) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .620

The Timberwolves are 12-3 (.800) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .582

The Timberwolves were 1-10 (.091) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better in the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142

The Timberwolves were 18-12 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (375 blocks/99 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (748 blocks/198 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are 11-4 (.733) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .620

The Timberwolves are 12-3 (.800) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .582

The Timberwolves were 1-10 (.091) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better in the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142

The Timberwolves were 18-12 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (375 blocks/99 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (748 blocks/198 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.