- The Heat (16-17) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (16-17)
- Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
- Monday, December 26, 2022 at 7:30pm EST
- Watch the game on BSSUN & BSN
The Minnesota Timberwolves visit FTX Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Timberwolves vs Heat Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 13-20 against the spread, while the Heat are 10-21 against the spread.
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Timberwolves vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Minnesota Timberwolves | +1.5 -110 | O 221.5 -110 | +100 |
Miami Heat | -1.5 -110 | U 221.5 -110 | -120 |
Heat vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Monday‘s game with 58.8% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Timberwolves and Heat, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Timberwolves Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 52 of their last 83 games (+16.82 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1H Spread in 53 of their last 87 games (+16.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 57 games (+14.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 37 of their last 57 games (+14.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+13.85 Units / 31% ROI)
Heat Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 61 of their last 100 games (+14.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games (+12.58 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 55 of their last 99 games (+9.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.41 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games (+8.20 Units / 15% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 13-20 (-9 Units / -24.76% ROI).
- 16-17 against the Moneyline (-8.7 Units / -13.35% ROI)
- 14-19 against the Over for game total points (-6.9 Units / -19.01% ROI)
- 19-14 against the Under for game total points (+3.6 Units / 9.92% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 10-21 (-13.1 Units / -36.09% ROI).
- 16-17 against the Moneyline (-15.4 Units / -23.58% ROI)
- 15-17 against the Over for game total points (-3.7 Units / -10.19% ROI)
- 17-15 against the Under for game total points (+0.5 Units / 1.38% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Heat, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 100 games (-24.60 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 67 games (-21.39 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 41 of their last 99 games (-19.50 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 67 games (-18.94 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 91 games (-18.85 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Timberwolves, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 83 games (-28.51 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 39 of their last 87 games (-25.91 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 55 games (-21.06 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 67 games (-19.51 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 47 games (-18.30 Units / -35% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Miami Heat
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Timberwolves are 6-15 (.286) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425
The Timberwolves are 28-8 (.778) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .608
The Timberwolves are 8-46 (.148) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207
The Timberwolves are 18-41 (.305) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Heat are 45-18 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564
The Heat are 16-12 (.571) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Heat are 29-3 (.906) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744
The Heat are 13-8 (.619) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
Injury Report: Heat vs. Timberwolves – Monday‘s Game, Dec. 26
- Gabe Vincent (Heat): Vincent is questionable for Monday’s (Dec. 26) game against Minnesota.
- Bam Adebayo (Heat): Adebayo is questionable for Monday’s (Dec. 26) game against Minnesota.
- Udonis Haslem (Heat): Haslem is questionable for Monday’s (Dec. 26) game against Minnesota.
- Caleb Martin (Heat): Martin is probable for Monday’s (Dec. 26) game against Minnesota.
- Omer Yurtseven (Heat): The Heat announced that Yurtseven underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated at a later date.
- Dewayne Dedmon (Heat): Dedmon is out for Monday’s (Dec. 26) game against Minnesota.
- Jimmy Butler (Heat): Butler is questionable for Monday’s (Dec. 26) game against Minnesota.
- Taurean Prince (Timberwolves): Timberwolves coach Chris Finch said Prince is “at least a week away.”
- Kyle Anderson (Timberwolves): Anderson is questionable for Monday’s (Dec. 26) game against Miami.
- Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): Towns is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a right calf strain, according to Adrian Wojnarowki of ESPN.
- Jordan McLaughlin (Timberwolves): McLaughlin is out for Monday’s (Dec. 26) game against Miami.
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 52.7 points in the paint per game (738 points/14 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0
The Timberwolves have averaged 117.4 points per game (5,281 points/45 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 109.5
The Timberwolves shot 35% from three (944/2,706) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Timberwolves have averaged 13.7 fast break points per game (2,294 points/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 41.0 points in the paint per game (1,802 points/44 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46.7
The Heat have averaged 45.5 points in the paint per game (592 points/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0
The Heat are shooting 87% from the free throw line (260/300) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Heat have averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (168 turnovers/13 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (479 rebounds/14 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2
The Timberwolves have averaged 8.7 steals per game (1,446 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (931 blocks/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Timberwolves have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,146 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 2.9 blocks per game (38 blocks/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (298 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (152 blocks/50 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (281 blocks/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
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