Timberwolves vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 11, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Lakers (43-39) are -8.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (42-40)
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Tuesday, April 11, 2023 at 10:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on TNT

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Lakers Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.


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Timberwolves vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+8.5 -110O 232.5 -115+310
Los Angeles Lakers -8.5 -110U 232.5 -115-400

Lakers vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Tuesday‘s game with 61.6% confidence.

Lakers vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Timberwolves and Lakers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 37 away games (+18.35 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 away games (+14.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 44 away games (+14.26 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 36 away games (+13.22 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 44 away games (+12.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 44 away games (-20.17 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 39 away games (-19.14 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 44 away games (-17.78 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 37 away games (-11.16 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 41 away games (-10.91 Units / -23% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Timberwolves are 28-14 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568

The Timberwolves are 14-6 (.700) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Timberwolves are 51-27 (.654) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Timberwolves are 33-57 (.367) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Lakers are 35-57 (.380) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

The Lakers are 38-40 (.487) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

The Lakers are 53-74 (.417) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Lakers are 20-16 (.556) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Injury Report: Lakers vs. TimberwolvesTuesday‘s Game, Apr. 11

  • D’Angelo Russell (Lakers): Russell is probable for Tuesday’s (Apr. 11) game against Minnesota.
  • Anthony Davis (Lakers): Davis is probable for Tuesday’s (Apr. 11) game against Minnesota.
  • LeBron James (Lakers): James is probable for Tuesday’s (Apr. 11) game against Minnesota.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): Towns is questionable for Tuesday’s (Apr. 11) game against the Lakers.
  • Naz Reid (Timberwolves): Reid who last played (Mar. 29) will undergo surgery on his fractured left wrist and will be sidelined for six weeks, according to ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski.
  • Jaylen Nowell (Timberwolves): Nowell is questionable for Tuesday’s (Apr. 11) game against the Lakers.
  • Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves): The Timberwolves announced that McDaniels suffered fractures in his right hand and is out indefinitely.

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 117.0 points per game (9,597 points/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.6

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 56% this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves have averaged 15.0 fast break points per game (2,453 points/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Timberwolves have averaged 14.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,222 rebounds/82 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Lakers have 26.6 free throw attempts per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Lakers are shooting 48% (3,516/7,297) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Lakers have averaged 1.32 points per shot (9,608 points/7,297 shots) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.5 steals per game (2,010 steals/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.0 steals per game (657 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (8,277 rebounds/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.9

The Timberwolves have 2,010 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd most among NBA teams

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 4.9 blocks per game (803 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Lakers have averaged 6.4 steals per game (526 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Lakers have averaged 7.0 steals per game (1,152 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.