- The Lakers (30-33) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (32-32)
- Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
- Friday, March 3, 2023 at 10:30pm EST
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA & BSN
The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Los Angeles.
The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Timberwolves vs Lakers Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 30-34 against the spread, while the Lakers are 30-31 against the spread.
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Timberwolves vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Minnesota Timberwolves | -1.5 -105 | O 227.5 -110 | -115 |
Los Angeles Lakers | +1.5 -115 | U 227.5 -110 | -105 |
Lakers vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
Lakers vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Timberwolves and Lakers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 56 of their last 88 games (+19.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 70 games (+17.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 54 of their last 88 games (+16.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 42 away games (+16.69 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 52 of their last 88 games (+15.15 Units / 11% ROI)
Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 51 games (+21.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 62 games (+15.74 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games (+15.27 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 51 games (+13.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 2Q Spread in 38 of their last 60 games (+13.26 Units / 20% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 30-34 (-7.4 Units / -10.5% ROI).
- 32-32 against the Moneyline (-9.8 Units / -8.68% ROI)
- 30-34 against the Over for game total points (-7.4 Units / -10.51% ROI)
- 34-30 against the Under for game total points (+1 Units / 1.42% ROI)
Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 30-31 (-4.15 Units / -5.98% ROI).
- 30-33 against the Moneyline (+4.55 Units / 5.65% ROI)
- 32-30 against the Over for game total points (-1 Units / -1.44% ROI)
- 30-32 against the Under for game total points (-5.2 Units / -7.5% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 84 games (-21.55 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 79 games (-16.02 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 27 games (-14.85 Units / -50% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 84 games (-13.60 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 83 games (-13.50 Units / -15% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 27 of their last 75 games (-36.17 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 78 games (-26.18 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 90 games (-25.60 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 86 games (-23.25 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 81 games (-19.05 Units / -13% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
- Player Injuries for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Los Angeles Lakers
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers
The Timberwolves are 45-24 (.652) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .569
The Timberwolves are 26-53 (.329) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432
The Timberwolves are 18-9 (.667) when they win the turnover margin this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570
The Timberwolves are 10-57 (.149) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220
Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Lakers are 16-18 (.471) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .530
The Lakers are 27-37 (.422) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540
The Lakers are 26-49 (.347) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424
The Lakers are 19-32 (.373) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .490
Injury Report: Lakers vs. Timberwolves – Friday‘s Game, Mar. 3
- LeBron James (Lakers): The Lakers announced that James sustained a right foot tendon injury and will be re-evaluated in about three weeks.
- D’Angelo Russell (Lakers): Russell is out for Friday’s (Mar.3) game against Minnesota.
- Dennis Schroder (Lakers): Schroder is probable for Friday’s (Mar.3) game against Minnesota.
- Anthony Davis (Lakers): Davis is probable for Friday’s (Mar.3) game against Minnesota.
- Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): The hope is that Towns is able to come back for the teams’ final 10-15 games of the season, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic. This timetable would put his possible return for mid-to-late March.
- Jaylen Nowell (Timberwolves): Nowell is questionable for Friday’s (Mar.3) game against Los Angeles.
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 116.3 points per game (8,028 points/69 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.0
The Timberwolves have averaged 1.33 points per shot (7,046 points/5,314 shots) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
The Timberwolves shot 35% from three (944/2,706) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Timberwolves have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,552 assists/ 928 TOs) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (223 assists/ 105 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6
The Lakers shot 35% from three (796/2,248) in the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Lakers have averaged 16.8 fast break points per game (1,008 points/60 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
The Lakers are shooting 48% (2,584/5,377) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 8.6 steals per game (1,225 steals/143 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (339 blocks/61 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Timberwolves have averaged 8.6 steals per game (1,857 steals/215 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Timberwolves have 1,225 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd most among NBA teams
Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,144 rebounds/60 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1
The Lakers have averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (7,460 rebounds/214 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9
The Lakers have averaged 6.5 steals per game (392 steals/60 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Lakers have blocked 1,089 shots since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th most among NBA teams
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