Timberwolves vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 28

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Minnesota Timberwolves visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Dallas, TX.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Timberwolves vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 20-27 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 21-25 against the spread.

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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Wednesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 54.2% confidence.

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Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 away games (+14.61 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2H Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.46 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 away games (+10.55 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.30 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 7 away games (+7.35 Units / 72% ROI)

Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+13.25 Units / 63% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.60 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+9.40 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.05 Units / 35% ROI)

Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 20-27 (-9.75 Units / -18.84% ROI).

• 28-19 against the Moneyline (-15.2 Units / -10.38% ROI)
• 22-25 against the Over for game total points (-5.5 Units / -10.64% ROI)
• 25-22 against the Under for game total points (+0.8 Units / 1.55% ROI)

Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 21-25 (-6.55 Units / -12.93% ROI).

• 19-27 against the Moneyline (-0.95 Units / -1.57% ROI)
• 20-26 against the Over for game total points (-8.6 Units / -17% ROI)
• 26-20 against the Under for game total points (+4 Units / 7.91% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:

• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.95 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-13.25 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.40 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 35 games (-12.25 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.20 Units / -21% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (-29.65 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (-17.10 Units / -16% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 30 away games (-14.90 Units / -44% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.65 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 45 away games (-13.95 Units / -21% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
• Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
• Player Injuries for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks
• Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
• Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Timberwolves were 25-8 (.758) when they win the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Timberwolves are 17-5 (.773) when they win the turnover margin this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Timberwolves are 66-21 (.759) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .576

The Timberwolves were 15-6 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .627

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Mavericks are undefeated (22-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .902

The Mavericks were 30-15 (.667) when they win the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Mavericks were 15-18 (.455) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Mavericks were 14-6 (.700) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .611

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves shot 39% from three (592/1,527) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves have averaged 123.9 points per game (2,849 points/23 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.9

The Timberwolves shot 43% (368/853) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Timberwolves averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (1,016 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 5.9 second chance points per game (273 points/46 games) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Mavericks are shooting 33% from three (255/769) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks have 25.0 free throw attempts per game this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.9

The Mavericks have made 11.2 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% at home in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 48% at home in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 52% in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,699 rebounds/47 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 37.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,725 rebounds/46 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Mavericks have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (543/1,642) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have blocked 260 shots this season — 6th most among NBA teams

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