- The Nuggets (53-29) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (42-40)
- Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
- Sunday, April 16, 2023 at 10:30pm EDT
- Watch the game on ALT
The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in Denver.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).
The Timberwolves vs Nuggets Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 42-42 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 44-37 against the spread.
Bet now on Nuggets vs Timberwolves and all NBA games with BetMGM
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Minnesota Timberwolves | +8.5 -115 | O 224.5 -110 | +260 |
Denver Nuggets | -8.5 -105 | U 224.5 -110 | -350 |
Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Sunday‘s game with 67.1% confidence.
Nuggets vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Timberwolves and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
Bet now on Nuggets vs Timberwolves and all NBA games with BetMGM
Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 61 games (+22.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 90 games (+21.11 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2Q Spread in 41 of their last 60 games (+20.16 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 56 of their last 90 games (+17.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1H Spread in 39 of their last 60 games (+16.15 Units / 24% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 78 games (+31.02 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 35 games at home (+19.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.31 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 53 games (+10.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.25 Units / 42% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 42-42 (-4.2 Units / -4.54% ROI).
- 43-41 against the Moneyline (-23.05 Units / -13.67% ROI)
- 39-45 against the Over for game total points (-10.5 Units / -11.36% ROI)
- 45-39 against the Under for game total points (+2.1 Units / 2.27% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 44-37 (+3.3 Units / 3.66% ROI).
- 53-29 against the Moneyline (-3.2 Units / -1.41% ROI)
- 38-43 against the Over for game total points (-9.3 Units / -10.31% ROI)
- 43-38 against the Under for game total points (+1.2 Units / 1.33% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 78 games (-41.12 Units / -47% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 72 games (-23.90 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 38 games (-15.20 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 32 games (-14.70 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 75 games (-14.40 Units / -17% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 31 of their last 89 games (-42.37 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 90 games (-32.50 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 89 games (-25.85 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 89 games (-22.45 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 45 away games (-19.17 Units / -37% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Timberwolves are 28-14 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568
The Timberwolves are 14-6 (.700) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555
The Timberwolves are 51-27 (.654) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564
The Timberwolves are 33-57 (.367) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Denver Nuggets are 42-13 (.764) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The Minnesota Timberwolves have averaged 14.8 turnovers per game (2,433 turnovers/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for third-highest among NBA teams.
The Nuggets are 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555
The Denver Nuggets are 69-24 (.742) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-best among NBA teams. The Minnesota Timberwolves have averaged 51.1 rebounds per game (8,388 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th-lowest among NBA teams.
The Nuggets are 47-19 (.712) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565
Injury Report: Nuggets vs. Timberwolves – Sunday‘s Game, Apr. 16
- Denver Nuggets – No Injuries Reported
- Naz Reid (Timberwolves): Reid who last played (Mar. 29) will undergo surgery on his fractured left wrist and will be sidelined for six weeks, according to ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski.
- Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves): Gobert is questionable for Sunday’s (Apr. 16) game against Denver.
- Jaylen Nowell (Timberwolves): Nowell is questionable for Sunday’s (Apr. 16) game against Denver.
- Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves): The Timberwolves announced that McDaniels suffered fractures in his right hand and is out indefinitely.
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 117.0 points per game (9,597 points/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.6
The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 56% this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
The Timberwolves have averaged 15.0 fast break points per game (2,453 points/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3
The Timberwolves have averaged 14.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,222 rebounds/82 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (5,378/10,546) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets are shooting 50% (3,554/7,136) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets have averaged 29.9 assists per game (1,227 assists/41 games) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 8.5 steals per game (2,010 steals/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Timberwolves have averaged 8.0 steals per game (657 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Timberwolves have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (8,277 rebounds/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.9
The Timberwolves have 2,010 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd most among NBA teams
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (500 blocks/118 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (673 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Nuggets have averaged 7.7 steals per game (905 steals/118 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (996 blocks/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Bet now on Nuggets vs Timberwolves and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
