Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 18

• The Nuggets are -6.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
• Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
• Watch the game on Amazon

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm in Denver, CO.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Nuggets Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 37-45 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 44-38 against the spread.

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 60.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 67.9% confidence.

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Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 away games (+12.63 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 20 away games (+11.50 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+9.50 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 away games (+9.00 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)

Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+17.00 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.45 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.85 Units / 69% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+8.35 Units / 12% ROI)

Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 37-45 (-12.55 Units / -13.91% ROI).

• 49-33 against the Moneyline (-13 Units / -5.5% ROI)
• 38-44 against the Over for game total points (-10.4 Units / -11.53% ROI)
• 44-38 against the Under for game total points (+2.2 Units / 2.44% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 44-38 (+2.2 Units / 2.44% ROI).

• 54-28 against the Moneyline (+9.5 Units / 3.25% ROI)
• 52-30 against the Over for game total points (+19.03 Units / 21.1% ROI)
• 30-52 against the Under for game total points (-27.2 Units / -30.14% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (-28.55 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 35 games at home (-16.90 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 35 games at home (-16.81 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 35 games (-15.40 Units / -40% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 35 games at home (-14.85 Units / -36% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 45 away games (-19.25 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 40 games (-17.40 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 45 games (-16.35 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 22 away games (-14.50 Units / -57% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 30 away games (-11.65 Units / -34% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
• Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
• Player Injuries for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets
• Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
• Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Defensive stats

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Timberwolves are 14-1 (.933) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789

The Timberwolves are 48-32 (.600) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

The Timberwolves are 22-7 (.759) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Timberwolves are 122-39 (.758) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .657

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Nuggets are 38-7 (.844) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .618

The Nuggets are undefeated (5-0) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .638

The Nuggets are 15-2 (.882) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .624

The Nuggets are 24-7 (.774) when they win the turnover margin this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 56% this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves are shooting 37% from three (1,128/3,049) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves are shooting 75% from the free throw line (1,558/2,072) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Timberwolves have 25.3 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 40% from three (1,161/2,934) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets are shooting 41% from three (565/1,393) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets have averaged 1.39 points per shot (10,010 points/7,196 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Nuggets have averaged 6.2 turnovers per game (512 turnovers/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (476 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (738 blocks/123 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,900 rebounds/82 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (423 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (560 steals/82 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Nuggets have forced 11.7 turnovers per game (480 turnovers/41 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.6

The Nuggets have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (6,070 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Nuggets have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,039 rebounds/82 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

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