Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 19

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 19, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Nuggets (53-29) are -8.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (42-40)
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Wednesday, April 19, 2023 at 10:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on ALT

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Denver.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Nuggets Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 42-43 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 45-37 against the spread.


Bet now on Nuggets vs Timberwolves and all NBA games with BetMGM


Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+8.5 -110O 221.5 -115+280
Denver Nuggets -8.5 -110U 221.5 -115-350

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 69.9% confidence.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.9% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Timberwolves and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


Bet now on Nuggets vs Timberwolves and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 62 games (+21.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 90 games (+21.11 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2Q Spread in 41 of their last 61 games (+19.06 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 55 of their last 90 games (+16.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1H Spread in 39 of their last 61 games (+15.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 79 games (+32.02 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 36 games at home (+20.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games (+11.31 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the Spread in 33 of their last 54 games (+11.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.25 Units / 45% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 42-43 (-5.3 Units / -5.67% ROI).

  • 43-42 against the Moneyline (-24.05 Units / -14.18% ROI)
  • 39-46 against the Over for game total points (-11.6 Units / -12.41% ROI)
  • 46-39 against the Under for game total points (+3.1 Units / 3.32% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 45-37 (+4.3 Units / 4.71% ROI).

  • 54-29 against the Moneyline (-2.2 Units / -0.95% ROI)
  • 38-44 against the Over for game total points (-10.4 Units / -11.39% ROI)
  • 44-38 against the Under for game total points (+2.2 Units / 2.41% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 79 games (-42.22 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 73 games (-22.90 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 39 games (-16.30 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 84 games (-15.20 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 33 games (-14.70 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 31 of their last 90 games (-43.37 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 90 games (-32.49 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 90 games (-26.85 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 90 games (-23.65 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 away games (-17.06 Units / -33% ROI)

Jump to:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 58-34 (.630) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-best among NBA teams. The Denver Nuggets have averaged 14.5 turnovers per game (2,381 turnovers/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for eighth-highest among NBA teams.

The Timberwolves are 50-53 (.485) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Timberwolves are 33-57 (.367) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Timberwolves are 51-27 (.654) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Nuggets are 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Denver Nuggets are 42-13 (.764) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The Minnesota Timberwolves have averaged 14.8 turnovers per game (2,433 turnovers/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for third-highest among NBA teams.

The Denver Nuggets are 69-24 (.742) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-best among NBA teams. The Minnesota Timberwolves have averaged 51.1 rebounds per game (8,388 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th-lowest among NBA teams.

The Nuggets are 48-18 (.727) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesWednesday‘s Game, Apr. 19

  • Nikola Jokic (Nuggets): Jokic is questionable for Wednesday’s (Apr. 19) game against Minnesota.
  • Naz Reid (Timberwolves): Reid who last played (Mar. 29) will undergo surgery on his fractured left wrist and will be sidelined for six weeks, according to ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski.
  • Jaylen Nowell (Timberwolves): Nowell is questionable for Wednesday’s (Apr. 19) game against Denver.
  • Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves): Gobert is questionable for Wednesday’s (Apr. 19) game against Denver.
  • Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves): The Timberwolves announced that McDaniels suffered fractures in his right hand and is out indefinitely.

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.32 points per shot (9,494 points/7,167 shots) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 55% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have averaged 50.9 points in the paint per game (8,352 points/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.8

The Timberwolves have made 13.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (5,378/10,546) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 50% (3,554/7,136) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,723/7,286) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets have averaged 29.9 assists per game (1,227 assists/41 games) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (444 blocks/82 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (904 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.5 steals per game (2,010 steals/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.0 steals per game (657 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (496 blocks/118 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (673 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (329 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (500 blocks/118 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


Bet now on Nuggets vs Timberwolves and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.