Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 25, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Nuggets (53-29) are -9.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (42-40)
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
  • Tuesday, April 25, 2023 at 9:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on ALT

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Denver.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Timberwolves vs Nuggets Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 43-45 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 47-38 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+9.5 -105O 220.5 -110+375
Denver Nuggets -9.5 -115U 220.5 -110-500

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Tuesday‘s game with 70.3% confidence.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Timberwolves and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+18.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 90 games (+16.91 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2Q Spread in 41 of their last 64 games (+15.66 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 45 of their last 75 games (+12.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 away games (+12.22 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 82 games (+32.92 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 37 games at home (+21.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the Spread in 35 of their last 57 games (+11.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.11 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 42 games at home (+9.55 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 43-45 (-6.5 Units / -6.71% ROI).

  • 44-44 against the Moneyline (-24.5 Units / -14.19% ROI)
  • 41-47 against the Over for game total points (-10.7 Units / -11.05% ROI)
  • 47-41 against the Under for game total points (+1.9 Units / 1.96% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 47-38 (+5.2 Units / 5.5% ROI).

  • 56-30 against the Moneyline (-1.9 Units / -0.8% ROI)
  • 40-45 against the Over for game total points (-9.5 Units / -10.04% ROI)
  • 45-40 against the Under for game total points (+1 Units / 1.06% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 82 games (-43.42 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 40 of their last 76 games (-19.90 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 84 games (-16.45 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 42 games (-15.40 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 87 games (-14.30 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 33 of their last 90 games (-38.51 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 90 games (-28.18 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 90 games (-26.50 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 90 games (-21.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 75 games (-20.01 Units / -23% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 58-34 (.630) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-best among NBA teams. The Denver Nuggets have averaged 14.5 turnovers per game (2,381 turnovers/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for eighth-highest among NBA teams.

The Timberwolves are 50-53 (.485) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Timberwolves are 33-57 (.367) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Timberwolves are 51-27 (.654) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Nuggets are 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Denver Nuggets are 42-13 (.764) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The Minnesota Timberwolves have averaged 14.8 turnovers per game (2,433 turnovers/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for third-highest among NBA teams.

The Denver Nuggets are 69-24 (.742) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-best among NBA teams. The Minnesota Timberwolves have averaged 51.1 rebounds per game (8,388 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th-lowest among NBA teams.

The Nuggets are 48-18 (.727) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTuesday‘s Game, Apr. 25

  • Denver Nuggets – No Injuries Reported
  • Naz Reid (Timberwolves): Reid who last played (Mar. 29) will undergo surgery on his fractured left wrist and will be sidelined for six weeks, according to ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski.
  • Jaylen Nowell (Timberwolves): Nowell is questionable for Tuesday’s (Apr 25) game against Denver.
  • Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves): The Timberwolves announced that McDaniels suffered fractures in his right hand and is out indefinitely.
  • Kyle Anderson (Timberwolves): Anderson is OUT for Tuesday’s (Apr 25) game against Denver.

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.32 points per shot (9,494 points/7,167 shots) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 55% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have averaged 50.9 points in the paint per game (8,352 points/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.8

The Timberwolves have made 13.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (5,378/10,546) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 50% (3,554/7,136) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,723/7,286) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets have averaged 29.9 assists per game (1,227 assists/41 games) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (444 blocks/82 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (904 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.5 steals per game (2,010 steals/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.0 steals per game (657 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (496 blocks/118 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (673 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (329 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (500 blocks/118 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.