Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 7

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 07, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Nuggets (37-17) are -8.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (29-27)
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
  • Tuesday, February 7, 2023 at 9:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on ALT & BSN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Nuggets Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 27-29 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 28-25 against the spread.


Bet now on Nuggets vs Timberwolves and all NBA games with BetMGM


Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+8.5 -110O 232.5 -110+290
Denver Nuggets -8.5 -110U 232.5 -110-375

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Tuesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 52.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Timberwolves and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


Bet now on Nuggets vs Timberwolves and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 40 away games (+19.02 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 51 of their last 80 games (+18.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 62 games (+17.64 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 49 of their last 80 games (+14.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 80 games (+13.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 50 games (+20.18 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 23 games at home (+18.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 79 games (+13.09 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 51 games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 50 of their last 88 games (+9.50 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 27-29 (-4.9 Units / -7.95% ROI).

  • 29-27 against the Moneyline (-9.5 Units / -9.25% ROI)
  • 26-30 against the Over for game total points (-7 Units / -11.36% ROI)
  • 30-26 against the Under for game total points (+1.4 Units / 2.27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 28-25 (+0.5 Units / 0.84% ROI).

  • 37-17 against the Moneyline (+13.35 Units / 9.31% ROI)
  • 27-27 against the Over for game total points (-2.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 27-27 against the Under for game total points (-2.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 77 games (-29.30 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 39 of their last 80 games (-24.11 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-23.67 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 80 games (-21.03 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 3Q Spread in 38 of their last 88 games (-16.39 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 25 of their last 67 games (-32.09 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 84 games (-27.54 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 70 games (-25.53 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 90 games (-20.46 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 73 games (-18.75 Units / -13% ROI)

Jump to:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Timberwolves are 35-25 (.583) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

The Timberwolves are 44-49 (.473) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Timberwolves are 10-56 (.152) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220

The Timberwolves are 8-13 (.381) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .524

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Denver Nuggets are 25-7 (.781) when winning the rebounding margin this season — sixth-best among NBA teams. The Minnesota Timberwolves have averaged 41.3 rebounds per game (2,313 rebounds/56 games) this season — tied for fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Denver Nuggets are 18-2 (.900) when they win the turnover margin this season — best among NBA teams. The Minnesota Timberwolves have averaged 15.2 turnovers per game (853 turnovers/56 games) this season — third-highest among NBA teams.

The Denver Nuggets are 38-7 (.844) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The Minnesota Timberwolves have averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (1,979 turnovers/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-highest among NBA teams.

The Nuggets are 42-8 (.840) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .600

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTuesday‘s Game, Feb. 7

  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Nuggets): Caldwell-Pope is probable for Tuesday’s (Feb. 7) game against Minnesota.
  • Jack White (Nuggets): White is probable for Tuesday’s (Feb. 7) game against Minnesota.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): Gillespie remains without a timetable to make his NBA debut, according to Katy Winge of Altitude Sports.
  • Zeke Nnaji (Nuggets): Nnaji is questionable for Tuesday’s (Feb. 7) game against Minnesota.
  • Jamal Murray (Nuggets): Murray is probable for Tuesday’s (Feb. 7) game against Minnesota.
  • Aaron Gordon (Nuggets): Gordon is probable for Tuesday’s (Feb. 7) game against Minnesota.
  • Nikola Jokic (Nuggets): Jokic is probable for Tuesday’s (Feb. 7) game against Minnesota.
  • Kyle Anderson (Timberwolves): Anderson is questionable for Tuesday’s (Feb. 7) game against Denver.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): Towns is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a right calf strain, according to Adrian Wojnarowki of ESPN.
  • Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves): Gobert is questionable for Tuesday’s (Feb. 7) game against Denver.
  • Jordan McLaughlin (Timberwolves): McLaughlin is questionable for Tuesday’s (Feb. 7) game against Denver.

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 69% from the free throw line (118/171) in the last two weeks — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Timberwolves are shooting 49% (2,387/4,858) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Timberwolves shot 35% from three (944/2,706) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves have a TS% of 51% since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (4,741/9,281) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 41% from three (98/242) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,086/6,021) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets have an eFG% of 59% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 32.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,809 rebounds/56 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.6 steals per game (1,814 steals/210 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (759 blocks/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (299 blocks/56 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (867 blocks/208 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (239 blocks/54 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (278 blocks/70 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (418 blocks/102 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


Bet now on Nuggets vs Timberwolves and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.