Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 1

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on ABC

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm in Denver, CO.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Timberwolves vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 25-35 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 34-26 against the spread.

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Sunday‘s game with 60.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 59.7% confidence.

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Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 away games (+13.37 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 away games (+12.87 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+8.95 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 away games (+8.30 Units / 40% ROI)

Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.33 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+11.35 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+8.89 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+8.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have covered the 2Q Spread in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.50 Units / 25% ROI)

Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 25-35 (-13.55 Units / -20.51% ROI).

• 37-23 against the Moneyline (-18.45 Units / -9.83% ROI)
• 30-30 against the Over for game total points (-3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
• 30-30 against the Under for game total points (-3 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 34-26 (+5.4 Units / 8.18% ROI).

• 37-23 against the Moneyline (+2.1 Units / 1.37% ROI)
• 38-22 against the Over for game total points (+13.83 Units / 20.96% ROI)
• 22-38 against the Under for game total points (-19.8 Units / -29.97% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 50 games (-19.30 Units / -35% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.43 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.35 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 21 games at home (-15.98 Units / -46% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 45 games (-12.95 Units / -25% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (-24.05 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (-21.30 Units / -16% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 35 away games (-18.81 Units / -47% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 30 games (-17.20 Units / -35% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (-14.50 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
• Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
• Player Injuries for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets
• Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
• Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Defensive stats

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Timberwolves are 21-11 (.656) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Timberwolves were 25-8 (.758) when they win the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Timberwolves were 17-6 (.739) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Timberwolves are 20-9 (.690) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .636

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Nuggets are 33-7 (.825) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .618

The Nuggets are undefeated (5-0) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .636

The Nuggets were 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Nuggets were 13-1 (.929) when forcing 10 or more steals in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (849/2,266) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (1,016 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Timberwolves shot 39% from three (592/1,527) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 58% on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets averaged 31.0 points in the paint per game (2,540 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Nuggets are shooting 39% from three (830/2,113) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets are shooting 39% from three (396/1,006) in the second half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,140 rebounds/60 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (8,027 rebounds/224 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 49% in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets have averaged 7.1 steals per game (424 steals/60 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Nuggets have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,186 rebounds/60 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Nuggets averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,031 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

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