Timberwolves vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 7

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  • The Timberwolves are -12.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDSN | FDIN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Indianapolis, IN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Pacers Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 34-44 against the spread, while the Pacers are 37-41 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pacers vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Tuesday‘s game with 71.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Pacers.

Pacers vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 53.4% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 away games (+12.62 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 away games (+10.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+9.50 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 away games (+8.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 21 games (+16.65 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+8.75 Units / 175% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+8.60 Units / 42% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 34-44 (-14.45 Units / -16.83% ROI).

  • 46-32 against the Moneyline (-17.7 Units / -7.84% ROI)
  • 35-43 against the Over for game total points (-12.3 Units / -14.34% ROI)
  • 43-35 against the Under for game total points (+4.5 Units / 5.24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 37-41 (-8.1 Units / -9.45% ROI).

  • 18-60 against the Moneyline (-27.05 Units / -31.13% ROI)
  • 40-38 against the Over for game total points (-1.8 Units / -2.1% ROI)
  • 38-40 against the Under for game total points (-6 Units / -6.99% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 2 of their last 21 games (-19.80 Units / -82% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.15 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 30 games (-16.20 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 35 games at home (-16.05 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-14.10 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 45 away games (-19.46 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 13 of their last 35 games (-19.08 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games (-18.65 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 away games (-17.10 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (-16.60 Units / -13% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Timberwolves are 7-8 (.467) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .400

The Timberwolves are 21-6 (.778) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Timberwolves are 23-11 (.676) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Timberwolves are 89-36 (.712) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have averaged 49.7 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest in the NBA.

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Pacers are 4-25 (.138) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Pacers are 5-20 (.200) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Pacers are 5-32 (.135) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .406

The Pacers are 5-30 (.143) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .429

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.33 points per shot (9,164 points/6,903 shots) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (3,338/8,847) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves have averaged 120.8 points per game (4,590 points/38 games) on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.8

The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (1,664/4,375) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 5.7 second chance points per game (443 points/78 games) in the first half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pacers have averaged 12.6 second chance points per game (979 points/78 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Pacers have averaged 1.26 points per shot (8,777 points/6,955 shots) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Pacers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (3,408 assists/ 1,631 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,781 rebounds/78 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (8,668 rebounds/242 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (445 blocks/78 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Timberwolves have blocked 445 shots this season — 4th most among NBA teams

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (77/271) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 34%

The Pacers have blocked 1,284 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Pacers have averaged 7.3 steals per game (569 steals/78 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pacers have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (1,284 blocks/242 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0


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