Minnesota Timberwolves vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 23, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Timberwolves (9-8) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Pacers (10-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
  • Wednesday, November 23, 2022 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSIN & BSNX

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Indianapolis.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Pacers Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 6-11 against the spread, while the Pacers are 11-5 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves-1.5 -110O 237.5 -105-120
Indiana Pacers +1.5 -110U 237.5 -105+100

Pacers vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Wednesday‘s game with 54.5% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 54.5% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Timberwolves and Pacers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 43 away games (+17.84 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 away games (+15.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1H Spread in 51 of their last 85 games (+14.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 34 away games (+13.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 41 games (+13.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 49 of their last 75 games (+23.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 55 games (+18.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 43 games at home (+17.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 2Q Spread in 38 of their last 61 games (+13.91 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 41 games (+13.84 Units / 31% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 6-11 (-6.1 Units / -32.53% ROI).

  • 9-8 against the Moneyline (-5.95 Units / -13.12% ROI)
  • 7-10 against the Over for game total points (-4 Units / -21.39% ROI)
  • 10-7 against the Under for game total points (+2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 11-5 (+5.5 Units / 31.25% ROI).

  • 10-6 against the Moneyline (+8.95 Units / 40.77% ROI)
  • 8-8 against the Over for game total points (-0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 8-8 against the Under for game total points (-0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 78 games (-33.95 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 79 games (-31.05 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 75 games (-28.55 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 55 games (-26.55 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 79 games (-24.90 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 85 games (-28.81 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 89 games (-24.40 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 89 games (-20.15 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 36 of their last 77 games (-19.54 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 45 away games (-17.20 Units / -33% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Timberwolves are 6-15 (.286) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425

The Timberwolves are 28-8 (.778) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .608

The Timberwolves are 8-46 (.148) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

The Timberwolves are 18-41 (.305) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Pacers are 10-30 (.250) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454

The Pacers are 5-14 (.263) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

The Pacers are 11-22 (.333) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .494

The Pacers are 4-32 (.111) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .199

Injury Report: Pacers vs. TimberwolvesWednesday‘s Game, Nov. 23

  • Daniel Theis (Pacers): Theis has yet to play this season and the Pacers haven’t provided an update on his return.
  • Andrew Nembhard (Pacers): Nembhard did not play in Monday’s (Nov. 21) game against Orlando.
  • Chris Duarte (Pacers): Duarte is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a grade 2 ankle sprain, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Jordan McLaughlin (Timberwolves): McLaughlin is questionable for Wednesday’s (Nov. 23) game against Indiana.
  • Kyle Anderson (Timberwolves): Anderson is questionable for Wednesday’s (Nov. 23) game against Indiana.

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 52.7 points in the paint per game (738 points/14 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

The Timberwolves have averaged 117.4 points per game (5,281 points/45 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 109.5

The Timberwolves shot 35% from three (944/2,706) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves have averaged 13.7 fast break points per game (2,294 points/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 14.9 assists per game (179 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Pacers have made 15.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.2

The Pacers have averaged 59.3 points per game (712 points/12 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.8

The Pacers averaged 115.3 points per game (8,302 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (479 rebounds/14 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.7 steals per game (1,446 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (931 blocks/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,146 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (996 blocks/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (489 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (507 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pacers have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (79 blocks/12 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.