- The Pelicans (21-12) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (16-18)
- Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
- Wednesday, December 28, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
- Watch the game on BSNO & BSN
The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans.
The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Timberwolves vs Pelicans Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 13-21 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 18-15 against the spread.
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Timberwolves vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Minnesota Timberwolves | +6.5 -110 | O 234.5 -105 | +200 |
New Orleans Pelicans | -6.5 -110 | U 234.5 -105 | -250 |
Pelicans vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Wednesday‘s game with 65.7% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Timberwolves and Pelicans, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Timberwolves Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 53 of their last 84 games (+17.82 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1H Spread in 53 of their last 88 games (+15.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.62 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 58 games (+13.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 37 of their last 58 games (+12.90 Units / 20% ROI)
Pelicans Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 55 of their last 89 games (+17.03 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 88 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 games (+13.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.33 Units / 43% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 49 of their last 83 games (+11.23 Units / 11% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 13-21 (-10.1 Units / -26.97% ROI).
- 16-18 against the Moneyline (-9.8 Units / -14.79% ROI)
- 15-19 against the Over for game total points (-5.9 Units / -15.78% ROI)
- 19-15 against the Under for game total points (+2.5 Units / 6.68% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 18-15 (+1.5 Units / 4.14% ROI).
- 21-12 against the Moneyline (+2.75 Units / 4.07% ROI)
- 19-14 against the Over for game total points (+3.6 Units / 9.92% ROI)
- 14-19 against the Under for game total points (-6.9 Units / -19.01% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Pelicans, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 89 games (-27.75 Units / -27% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 88 games (-25.40 Units / -26% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 73 games (-23.00 Units / -28% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 46 games at home (-20.95 Units / -32% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 89 games (-20.69 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Timberwolves, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 84 games (-29.66 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 39 of their last 88 games (-27.01 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 56 games (-22.14 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 68 games (-20.59 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 48 games (-19.45 Units / -36% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
- Player Injuries for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Timberwolves are 6-15 (.286) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425
The Timberwolves are 28-8 (.778) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .608
The Timberwolves are 8-46 (.148) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207
The Timberwolves are 18-41 (.305) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Pelicans are 6-14 (.300) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425
The Pelicans are 11-22 (.333) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Pelicans are 29-53 (.354) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432
The Pelicans are 18-36 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451
Injury Report: Pelicans vs. Timberwolves – Wednesday‘s Game, Dec. 28
- Trey Murphy III (Pelicans): Murphy III is probable for Wednesday’s (Dec. 28) game against Minnesota.
- E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that E.J. Liddell tore his right ACL and will miss most of the season.
- Herbert Jones (Pelicans): Jones is questionable for Wednesday’s (Dec 28) game against Minnesota.
- Brandon Ingram (Pelicans): Ingram is OUT for Wednesday’s (Dec 28) game against Minnesota.
- Dyson Daniels (Pelicans): Daniels is probable for Wednesday’s (Dec. 28) game against Minnesota.
- Zion Williamson (Pelicans): Williamson is probable for Wednesday’s (Dec. 28) game against Minnesota.
- Taurean Prince (Timberwolves): Timberwolves coach Chris Finch said Prince is “at least a week away.”
- Kyle Anderson (Timberwolves): Anderson is questionable for Wednesday’s (Dec 28) game against New Orleans.
- Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): Towns is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a right calf strain, according to Adrian Wojnarowki of ESPN.
- Jordan McLaughlin (Timberwolves): McLaughlin is OUT for Wednesday’s (Dec 28) game against New Orleans.
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 52.7 points in the paint per game (738 points/14 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0
The Timberwolves have averaged 117.4 points per game (5,281 points/45 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 109.5
The Timberwolves shot 35% from three (944/2,706) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Timberwolves have averaged 13.7 fast break points per game (2,294 points/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have 24.5 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.9
The Pelicans have averaged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,987 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1
The Pelicans have made 10.2 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.1
The Pelicans are shooting 32% from three (496/1,534) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (479 rebounds/14 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2
The Timberwolves have averaged 8.7 steals per game (1,446 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (931 blocks/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Timberwolves have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,146 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,149 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8
The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (111 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (417 steals/49 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (789 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
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