Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 26, 2023, 11:08 AM
  • The Pelicans are -2.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Wednesday, January 25, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSNO & BSN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Timberwolves vs Pelicans Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 22-27 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 24-24 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+2.5 -105O 230.5 -110+125
New Orleans Pelicans -2.5 -115U 230.5 -110-150

Pelicans vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Wednesday‘s game with 53.6% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Timberwolves and Pelicans, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 55 games (+19.24 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 77 games (+19.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 47 of their last 73 games (+17.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 73 games (+15.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 73 games (+13.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 55 of their last 92 games (+13.64 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 92 games (+12.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 38 games (+11.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 22-27 (-7.7 Units / -14.27% ROI).

  • 24-25 against the Moneyline (-12.45 Units / -13.52% ROI)
  • 24-25 against the Over for game total points (-3.5 Units / -6.49% ROI)
  • 25-24 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -2.6% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 24-24 (-2.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 26-22 against the Moneyline (-2.3 Units / -2.64% ROI)
  • 27-21 against the Over for game total points (+3.9 Units / 7.39% ROI)
  • 21-27 against the Under for game total points (-8.7 Units / -16.48% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 92 games (-25.26 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 92 games (-21.35 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 42 games (-19.63 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 88 games (-18.65 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 38 of their last 91 games (-18.20 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 20 of their last 60 games (-34.77 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 91 games (-31.00 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 63 games (-26.02 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 83 games (-23.00 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 66 games (-21.70 Units / -17% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Timberwolves are 11-16 (.407) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .472

The Timberwolves are 43-48 (.473) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Timberwolves are 32-8 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

The Timberwolves are 40-55 (.421) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Pelicans are 33-90 (.268) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .320

The Pelicans are 10-34 (.227) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .314

The Pelicans are 7-13 (.350) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .473

The Pelicans are 24-42 (.364) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .422

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. TimberwolvesWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 25

  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that E.J. Liddell tore his right ACL and will miss most of the season.
  • Naji Marshall (Pelicans): Marshall did not play in Tuesday’s (Jan. 24) game against Denver.
  • Zion Williamson (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Williamson will be re-evaluated again in two weeks.
  • Brandon Ingram (Pelicans): Ingram did not play in Tuesday’s (Jan. 24) game against Denver.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): Towns is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a right calf strain, according to Adrian Wojnarowki of ESPN.
  • Jordan McLaughlin (Timberwolves): McLaughlin is considered weeks away from returning, according to Jon Krawczynski of The Athletic.
  • Taurean Prince (Timberwolves): Prince is OUT for Wednesday’s (Jan 25) game against New Orleans.
  • Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves): Gobert is questionable for Wednesday’s (Jan 25) game against New Orleans.

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 15.0 fast break points per game (1,952 points/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 56% this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have averaged 55.0 points in the paint per game (1,210 points/22 games) on the road this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.4

The Timberwolves have averaged 115.7 points per game (15,042 points/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.9

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (2,552 free throw attempts/8,947 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

The Pelicans have averaged 52.1 points in the paint per game (10,472 points/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.0

The Pelicans have 25.8 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.8

The Pelicans shot 35% from three (762/2,190) in the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.7 steals per game (1,755 steals/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,535 rebounds/48 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (259 blocks/48 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (1,117 blocks/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have 409 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Pelicans have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (202 blocks/47 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pelicans have averaged 8.7 steals per game (409 steals/47 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,634 steals/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.