Minnesota Timberwolves vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 11, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Timberwolves (20-21) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Pistons (11-33)
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Wednesday, January 11, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSDET & BSN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Detroit.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Timberwolves vs Pistons Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 18-23 against the spread, while the Pistons are 19-22 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves-5.5 -115O 231.5 -115-225
Detroit Pistons +5.5 -105U 231.5 -115+180

Pistons vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Wednesday‘s game with 66.9% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Timberwolves and Pistons, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 57 of their last 90 games (+19.52 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 42 of their last 65 games (+17.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 43 of their last 65 games (+17.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 65 games (+16.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1H Spread in 54 of their last 89 games (+16.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 56 of their last 83 games (+25.11 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 66 games (+19.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 72 games (+18.96 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 50 of their last 79 games (+17.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.26 Units / 33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 18-23 (-7.3 Units / -16.17% ROI).

  • 20-21 against the Moneyline (-10.1 Units / -13.11% ROI)
  • 19-22 against the Over for game total points (-5.2 Units / -11.53% ROI)
  • 22-19 against the Under for game total points (+1.1 Units / 2.44% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 19-22 (-5.2 Units / -10.74% ROI).

  • 11-33 against the Moneyline (-6.5 Units / -14.53% ROI)
  • 26-18 against the Over for game total points (+6.2 Units / 12.81% ROI)
  • 18-26 against the Under for game total points (-10.6 Units / -21.9% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 85 games (-36.13 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 77 games (-26.13 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 41 games at home (-18.22 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 79 games (-17.99 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 47 games (-17.11 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 90 games (-32.22 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 17 of their last 52 games (-30.53 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 75 games (-26.62 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 55 games (-21.09 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 58 games (-19.35 Units / -17% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Timberwolves are 6-15 (.286) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425

The Timberwolves are 28-8 (.778) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .608

The Timberwolves are 8-46 (.148) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

The Timberwolves are 18-41 (.305) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Pistons are 18-63 (.222) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Pistons are 2-25 (.074) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Pistons are 1-14 (.067) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .312

The Pistons are 3-14 (.167) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

Injury Report: Pistons vs. TimberwolvesWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 11

  • Bojan Bogdanovic (Pistons): Bogdanovic is out for Tuesday’s (Jan. 10) game against Philadelphia.
  • Marvin Bagley III (Pistons): The Pistons announced that Bagley III underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated in about six weeks.
  • Jalen Duren (Pistons): Duren did not play in Tuesday’s (Jan. 10) game against Philadelphia.
  • Isaiah Stewart (Pistons): Stewart is OUT for Tuesday’s (Jan 10) game against Philadelphia.
  • Cade Cunningham (Pistons): According the Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN, Cunningham is expected to have season-ending surgery on his left shin.
  • Isaiah Livers (Pistons): Livers did not play in Tuesday’s (Jan. 10) game against Philadelphia.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): Towns is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a right calf strain, according to Adrian Wojnarowki of ESPN.
  • Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves): Edwards is questionable for Wednesday’s (Jan. 11) game against Detroit.
  • Jordan McLaughlin (Timberwolves): McLaughlin is considered weeks away from returning, according to Jon Krawczynski of The Athletic.

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 52.7 points in the paint per game (738 points/14 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

The Timberwolves have averaged 117.4 points per game (5,281 points/45 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 109.5

The Timberwolves shot 35% from three (944/2,706) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves have averaged 13.7 fast break points per game (2,294 points/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons are shooting 43% (526/1,232) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons have an eFG% of 49% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Pistons have a TS% of 47% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Pistons are shooting 33% from three (1,035/3,150) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (479 rebounds/14 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.7 steals per game (1,446 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (931 blocks/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,146 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,300 rebounds/165 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Pistons have averaged 31.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,943 rebounds/93 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Pistons have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (56 blocks/14 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Pistons have averaged 6.2 steals per game (87 steals/14 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.