Timberwolves vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 10

• The Rockets are -10.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
• Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
• Watch the game on SCHN | FDSN | Amazon | KARE

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm in Houston, TX.

The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Rockets Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 35-45 against the spread, while the Rockets are 35-45 against the spread.

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Timberwolves vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rockets vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Friday‘s game with 73.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Rockets.

Rockets vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 66.0% confidence.

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Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 away games (+14.70 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 away games (+12.63 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 away games (+10.50 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+9.50 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)

Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Houston Rockets have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+16.36 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.20 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.95 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+8.90 Units / 19% ROI)

Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 35-45 (-14.55 Units / -16.52% ROI).

• 47-33 against the Moneyline (-17.7 Units / -7.57% ROI)
• 36-44 against the Over for game total points (-12.4 Units / -14.09% ROI)
• 44-36 against the Under for game total points (+4.4 Units / 5% ROI)

Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 35-45 (-14.45 Units / -16.43% ROI).

• 51-29 against the Moneyline (-19.25 Units / -6.41% ROI)
• 36-43 against the Over for game total points (-11.27 Units / -12.81% ROI)
• 43-36 against the Under for game total points (+3.4 Units / 3.86% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:

• The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 40 games at home (-22.44 Units / -49% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.10 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only covered the Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.20 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-16.10 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-14.70 Units / -25% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 45 away games (-21.61 Units / -42% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games (-19.65 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 45 away games (-19.25 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (-18.60 Units / -15% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 40 games (-17.82 Units / -26% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
• Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
• Player Injuries for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Houston Rockets
• Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
• Houston Rockets Offensive stats
• Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
• Houston Rockets Defensive stats

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Timberwolves are 17-11 (.607) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

The Timberwolves are 26-11 (.703) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

The Timberwolves are 23-11 (.676) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Timberwolves are 77-13 (.856) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Rockets are 7-1 (.875) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .396

The Rockets are winless (0-3) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .212

The Rockets are 43-12 (.782) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .649

The Rockets are 14-2 (.875) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 75% from the free throw line (1,507/2,004) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.33 points per shot (9,408 points/7,082 shots) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Timberwolves are shooting 48% (3,399/7,082) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Timberwolves have a 28% free throw rate (2,004 free throw attempts/7,082 field goal attempts) this season — 7th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 22.3 offensive rebounds per game (3,608 rebounds/162 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.4

The Rockets have averaged 22.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,764 rebounds/80 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.8

The Rockets have averaged 17.9 second chance points per game (2,896 points/162 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Rockets have averaged 20.8 offensive rebounds per game (5,075 rebounds/244 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,839 rebounds/80 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.8 steals per game (705 steals/80 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (8,726 rebounds/244 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (633 blocks/122 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (457 blocks/80 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Rockets have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (8,768 rebounds/244 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Rockets have averaged 8.3 steals per game (2,015 steals/244 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Rockets have blocked 457 shots this season — tied for 2nd most among NBA teams

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