Timberwolves vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 12

• The Spurs are -10.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
• Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
• Watch the game on NBC | PEAC

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in San Antonio, TX.

The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Timberwolves vs Spurs Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 43-49 against the spread, while the Spurs are 53-38 against the spread.

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Timberwolves vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Spurs vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Tuesday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Spurs.

Spurs vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.

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Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+14.90 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 away games (+13.28 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.30 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.00 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+9.35 Units / 27% ROI)

Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:

• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 45 games (+16.05 Units / 7% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games (+15.55 Units / 21% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 45 games at home (+13.30 Units / 14% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games (+9.20 Units / 7% ROI)

Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 43-49 (-10.95 Units / -10.83% ROI).

• 55-37 against the Moneyline (-5.25 Units / -2.13% ROI)
• 43-49 against the Over for game total points (-10.9 Units / -10.77% ROI)
• 49-43 against the Under for game total points (+1.7 Units / 1.68% ROI)

San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 53-38 (+11.2 Units / 11.19% ROI).

• 68-23 against the Moneyline (+26.45 Units / 7.58% ROI)
• 39-51 against the Over for game total points (-17.1 Units / -17.08% ROI)
• 51-39 against the Under for game total points (+8.1 Units / 8.09% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:

• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games (-12.40 Units / -19% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 45 games (-12.15 Units / -24% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 35 games at home (-10.45 Units / -26% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 4Q Spread in 8 of their last 24 games (-10.10 Units / -37% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games at home (-9.92 Units / -10% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 50 away games (-20.70 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 40 games (-20.65 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 40 games (-16.50 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games (-15.31 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 25 away games (-13.75 Units / -48% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
• Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
• Player Injuries for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs
• Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
• Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Timberwolves are 30-13 (.698) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Timberwolves are 14-1 (.933) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789

The Timberwolves are 48-32 (.600) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

The Timberwolves are 27-11 (.711) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Spurs are 13-2 (.867) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Spurs are 33-10 (.767) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Spurs are undefeated (23-0) when their eFG is 60% or better this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .856

The Spurs are 55-19 (.743) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .497

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 75% from the free throw line (1,558/2,072) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Timberwolves have averaged 121.2 points per game (4,970 points/41 games) on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Timberwolves are shooting 48% (3,495/7,260) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.33 points per shot (9,676 points/7,260 shots) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 62.2 points per game (5,102 points/82 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.2

The Spurs have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,302 assists/ 1,103 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Spurs have averaged 28.1 assists per game (2,302 assists/82 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Spurs have averaged 1.34 points per shot (5,102 points/3,804 shots) in the first half this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (476 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,900 rebounds/82 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Timberwolves have allowed 12.1 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.3

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (423 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,123 rebounds/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Spurs have averaged 7.5 steals per game (617 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Spurs have blocked 446 shots this season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Spurs have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (901 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

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