Timberwolves vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 4

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  • The Spurs are -12.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
  • Total (Over/Under): 217.5 points
  • Watch the game on PEAC | NBCS

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm in San Antonio, TX.

The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

The Timberwolves vs Spurs Over/Under is 217.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 41-47 against the spread, while the Spurs are 51-36 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+12.5 -105O 217.5 -110+475
San Antonio Spurs -12.5 -115U 217.5 -110-650

Spurs vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Spurs.

Spurs vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • Away – Positive ATS Trends
  • Home – Positive ATS Trends

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 41-47 (-10.75 Units / -11.11% ROI).

  • 53-35 against the Moneyline (-8.15 Units / -3.36% ROI)
  • 40-48 against the Over for game total points (-12.8 Units / -13.22% ROI)
  • 48-40 against the Under for game total points (+4 Units / 4.13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 51-36 (+11.4 Units / 11.91% ROI).

  • 66-21 against the Moneyline (+30.4 Units / 9.02% ROI)
  • 36-50 against the Over for game total points (-19 Units / -19.85% ROI)
  • 50-36 against the Under for game total points (+10.4 Units / 10.87% ROI)
  • Home – Negative ATS Trends
  • Away – Negative ATS Trends

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Timberwolves are 28-13 (.683) when they win the turnover margin this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592

The Timberwolves are 46-29 (.613) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .497

The Timberwolves are 74-25 (.747) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 135-77 (.637) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .493

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Spurs are 13-2 (.867) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Spurs are 43-7 (.860) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Spurs are 33-8 (.805) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Spurs are 19-2 (.905) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 58% on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves are shooting 48% (3,495/7,260) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Timberwolves have averaged 118.0 points per game (9,676 points/82 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6

The Timberwolves are shooting 75% from the free throw line (1,558/2,072) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 62.2 points per game (5,102 points/82 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.2

The Spurs have averaged 52.1 points in the paint per game (4,276 points/82 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Spurs have averaged 119.8 points per game (9,826 points/82 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6

The Spurs have an eFG% of 56% this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have blocked 476 shots this season — 2nd most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.2 steals per game (2,019 steals/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,900 rebounds/82 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Timberwolves have blocked 1,378 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th most among NBA teams

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,123 rebounds/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Spurs have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (1,421 blocks/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Spurs have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (446 blocks/82 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Spurs have blocked 446 shots this season — 8th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.