Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 16, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Thunder (11-16) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (13-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Friday, December 16, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSOK & BSN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Thunder Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 10-18 against the spread, while the Thunder are 17-11 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+2.5 -110O 233.5 -110+115
Oklahoma City Thunder -2.5 -110U 233.5 -110-140

Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Friday‘s game with 57.0% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Timberwolves and Thunder, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 away games (+14.66 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 52 games (+13.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 52 games (+12.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 away games (+11.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 32 of their last 54 games (+28.52 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 49 of their last 83 games (+14.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 54 games (+14.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 62 games (+14.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+13.90 Units / 37% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 10-18 (-9.8 Units / -31.77% ROI).

  • 13-15 against the Moneyline (-11.25 Units / -18.7% ROI)
  • 12-16 against the Over for game total points (-5.6 Units / -18.18% ROI)
  • 16-12 against the Under for game total points (+2.8 Units / 9.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 17-11 (+4.95 Units / 16.1% ROI).

  • 11-17 against the Moneyline (+2.45 Units / 8.21% ROI)
  • 16-11 against the Over for game total points (+3.9 Units / 12.66% ROI)
  • 11-16 against the Under for game total points (-6.6 Units / -21.43% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 78 games (-38.90 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 71 games (-20.90 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 75 games (-20.00 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 54 games (-19.40 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 64 games (-18.90 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 78 games (-24.91 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 40 of their last 88 games (-24.00 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-22.64 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 45 games (-20.50 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 62 games (-18.83 Units / -22% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Timberwolves are 6-15 (.286) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425

The Timberwolves are 28-8 (.778) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .608

The Timberwolves are 8-46 (.148) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

The Timberwolves are 18-41 (.305) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 11-47 (.190) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Boston Celtics have averaged 45.1 rebounds per game (4,280 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-highest among NBA teams.

The Thunder are winless (0-31) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .141

The Thunder are 17-34 (.333) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Thunder are 6-15 (.286) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

Injury Report: Thunder vs. TimberwolvesFriday‘s Game, Dec. 16

  • Kenrich Williams (Thunder): Williams is OUT for Friday’s (Dec 16) game against Minnesota.
  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren will miss the 2022-23 season with Lisfranc injury to his right foot, according to Adrian Wojnarowsk of ESPN.
  • Ousmane Dieng (Thunder): Dieng suffered a fracture in his right wrist during Wednesday’s (Dec 14) Oklahoma City Blue game and will be re-evaluated in six weeks, Brandon Rahbar of DailyThunder.com reports.
  • Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (Thunder): Robinson-Earl is OUT for Friday’s (Dec 16) game against Minnesota.
  • Taurean Prince (Timberwolves): Timberwolves coach Chris Finch said Prince is “at least a week away.”
  • Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): Towns is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a right calf strain, according to Adrian Wojnarowki of ESPN.
  • Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves): Gobert is questionable for Friday’s (Dec 16) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Jordan McLaughlin (Timberwolves): McLaughlin is OUT for Friday’s (Dec 16) game against Oklahoma City.
  • D’Angelo Russell (Timberwolves): Russell is questionable for Friday’s (Dec 16) game against Oklahoma City.

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 52.7 points in the paint per game (738 points/14 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

The Timberwolves have averaged 117.4 points per game (5,281 points/45 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 109.5

The Timberwolves shot 35% from three (944/2,706) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves have averaged 13.7 fast break points per game (2,294 points/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (2,000/6,055) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 1.19 points per shot (8,637 points/7,246 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Thunder have an eFG% of 50% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Thunder have averaged 1.17 points per shot (8,646 points/7,398 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.25

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (479 rebounds/14 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.7 steals per game (1,446 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (931 blocks/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,146 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.2 steals per game (119 steals/13 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Thunder have averaged 7.8 steals per game (742 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Thunder have blocked 81 shots this season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Thunder have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (81 blocks/13 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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