Timberwolves vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 15

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on ABC

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm in Oklahoma City, OK.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Timberwolves vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 28-39 against the spread, while the Thunder are 31-36 against the spread.

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Timberwolves vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 68.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Thunder.

Thunder vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 63.7% confidence.

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Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 away games (+14.12 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 away games (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 away games (+8.20 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.05 Units / 11% ROI)

Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.50 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+7.55 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.40 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.33 Units / 18% ROI)

Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 28-39 (-14.95 Units / -20.27% ROI).

• 41-26 against the Moneyline (-19.15 Units / -9.33% ROI)
• 32-35 against the Over for game total points (-6.5 Units / -8.82% ROI)
• 35-32 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.27% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 31-36 (-8.6 Units / -11.67% ROI).

• 52-15 against the Moneyline (-6.7 Units / -1.67% ROI)
• 35-32 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.27% ROI)
• 32-35 against the Under for game total points (-6.5 Units / -8.82% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games at home (-27.80 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games (-26.95 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (-21.45 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 22 games at home (-18.20 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 40 games (-13.85 Units / -30% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:

• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (-28.15 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 40 away games (-20.24 Units / -44% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 45 away games (-19.60 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (-18.60 Units / -15% ROI)
• The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 away games (-15.50 Units / -34% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
• Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
• Player Injuries for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
• Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
• Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Timberwolves are 22-3 (.880) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .788

The Timberwolves are 24-10 (.706) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .638

The Timberwolves are 88-35 (.715) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Thunder have averaged 51.0 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-lowest in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 54-39 (.581) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Thunder are 25-7 (.781) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Thunder are 83-14 (.856) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .561

The Thunder are 23-3 (.885) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .569

The Thunder are 93-14 (.869) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .599

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 58% on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.38 points per shot (4,050 points/2,941 shots) on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 56% this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves shot 39% from three (592/1,527) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (841 turnovers/67 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have averaged 6.2 turnovers per game (417 turnovers/67 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 52% in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves have blocked 374 shots this season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves allowed 103.7 points per game (4,253 points/41 games) at home in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 113.1

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder averaged 10.3 steals per game (847 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder allowed opponents to shoot 44% (3,109/7,130) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Thunder have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (758 blocks/118 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (2,186 steals/231 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

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