Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 13

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  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 pm in San Francisco, CA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Timberwolves vs Warriors Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 27-39 against the spread, while the Warriors are 29-36 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves O
Golden State Warriors U

Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Friday‘s game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Warriors.

Warriors vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 55.8% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 away games (+13.42 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 away games (+10.73 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+12.10 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+10.25 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.50 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 27-39 (-15.95 Units / -21.95% ROI).

  • 40-26 against the Moneyline (-20.15 Units / -9.91% ROI)
  • 31-35 against the Over for game total points (-7.5 Units / -10.33% ROI)
  • 35-31 against the Under for game total points (+0.9 Units / 1.24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 29-36 (-10.6 Units / -14.83% ROI).

  • 32-33 against the Moneyline (-15.4 Units / -10.61% ROI)
  • 39-26 against the Over for game total points (+10.4 Units / 14.55% ROI)
  • 26-39 against the Under for game total points (-16.9 Units / -23.64% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 games at home (-20.30 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 games (-17.65 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 2 of their last 18 games (-16.80 Units / -79% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 35 games (-16.35 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.85 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (-28.15 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (-21.20 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 45 away games (-19.54 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 45 games (-18.95 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 50 games (-14.60 Units / -18% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Timberwolves were 25-8 (.758) when they win the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Timberwolves are 18-6 (.750) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .644

The Timberwolves are 19-5 (.792) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .607

The Timberwolves were 48-20 (.706) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds in the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Warriors were 25-6 (.806) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Warriors are 67-35 (.657) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Warriors were 8-16 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Warriors were 17-10 (.630) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 122.6 points per game (3,923 points/32 games) on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Timberwolves averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (1,016 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 58% on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.41 points per shot (3,946 points/2,803 shots) in the second half this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 21.0 points in the paint per game (1,366 points/65 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1

The Warriors have made 15.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Warriors have averaged 30.8 assists per game (1,015 assists/33 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.9

The Warriors have averaged 8.5 second chance points per game (1,950 points/229 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.2

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 49% in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 52% in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (369 blocks/66 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 9.9 steals per game (641 steals/65 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have 641 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Warriors have averaged 10.3 steals per game (749 steals/73 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.