- The Warriors (39-36) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (37-37)
- Total (Over/Under): 239.5 points
- Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 8:30pm EDT
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA & BSN
The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Timberwolves vs Warriors Over/Under is 239.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 35-39 against the spread, while the Warriors are 35-39 against the spread.
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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Minnesota Timberwolves | +6.5 -110 | O 239.5 -110 | +220 |
Golden State Warriors | -6.5 -110 | U 239.5 -110 | -275 |
Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Sunday‘s game with 66.9% confidence.
Warriors vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.8% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Timberwolves and Warriors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 41 away games (+20.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 43 away games (+19.92 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 80 games (+18.53 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2Q Spread in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 50 of their last 80 games (+16.20 Units / 18% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+19.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 50 games at home (+16.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 49 games at home (+14.94 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 42 games (+12.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 80 games (+11.62 Units / 13% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 35-39 (-7.9 Units / -9.7% ROI).
- 37-37 against the Moneyline (-7.95 Units / -6.36% ROI)
- 37-37 against the Over for game total points (-3.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 37-37 against the Under for game total points (-3.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 35-39 (-7.9 Units / -9.58% ROI).
- 39-36 against the Moneyline (-25.3 Units / -15.26% ROI)
- 41-32 against the Over for game total points (+5.8 Units / 7.03% ROI)
- 32-41 against the Under for game total points (-13.1 Units / -15.88% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 36 of their last 82 games (-25.54 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 93 games (-23.17 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 41 of their last 100 games (-23.10 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 69 games (-21.75 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 49 games at home (-21.74 Units / -39% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 28 of their last 85 games (-45.31 Units / -40% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 88 games (-29.16 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 43 away games (-25.70 Units / -52% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 88 games (-22.55 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 81 games (-17.60 Units / -19% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Minnesota Timberwolves are 23-34 (.404) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Chicago Bulls have averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (1,990 turnovers/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-lowest among NBA teams.
The Timberwolves are 20-64 (.238) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .277
The Timberwolves are 12-58 (.171) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .227
The Timberwolves are 23-34 (.404) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Golden State Warriors are 58-20 (.744) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-best among NBA teams. The Atlanta Hawks have averaged 51.0 rebounds per game (7,694 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-lowest among NBA teams.
The Warriors are 43-25 (.632) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556
The Warriors are 2-21 (.087) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .167
The Warriors are 72-51 (.585) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .488
Injury Report: Warriors vs. Timberwolves – Sunday‘s Game, Mar. 26
- Andrew Wiggins (Warriors): Wiggins remains without a timetable to return to the Warriors, according to Anthony Slater of The Athletic.
- Ryan Rollins (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Rollins has a Jones fracture in his right foot and will undergo surgery.
- Gary Payton II (Warriors): Payton II is probable for Sunday’s (Mar. 26) game against Minnesota.
- Andre Iguodala (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Iguodala will undergo surgery next week for a fractured left wrist.
- Jaylen Nowell (Timberwolves): Nowell is questionable for Sunday’s (Mar. 26) game against Golden State.
- Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves): Edwards is questionable for Sunday’s (Mar. 26) game against Golden State.
- Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): Towns is questionable for Sunday’s (Mar. 26) game against Golden State.
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have a TS% of 52% this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Timberwolves shot 35% from three (944/2,706) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Timberwolves have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,800 assists/ 1,087 TOs) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Timberwolves have averaged 15.0 fast break points per game (1,049 points/70 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 29.6 assists per game (2,072 assists/70 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1
The Warriors have made 16.7 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
The Warriors have averaged 30.7 assists per game (1,104 assists/36 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.5
The Warriors have 19.9 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 8.6 steals per game (1,928 steals/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (1,245 blocks/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Timberwolves have averaged 8.5 steals per game (1,296 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Timberwolves have 575 steals this season — 5th most among NBA teams
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,548 rebounds/70 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (970 blocks/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Warriors have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (634 blocks/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Warriors have averaged 8.0 steals per game (1,798 steals/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
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