Portland Trail Blazers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 21, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks (11-4) are -10.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers (10-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
  • Monday, November 21, 2022 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSWI & ROOT Sports NW

The Portland Trail Blazers visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Trail Blazers vs Bucks Over/Under is 213.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 11-5 against the spread, while the Bucks are 10-5 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers+9.5 -110O 213.5 -110340
Milwaukee Bucks -9.5 -110U 213.5 -110-450

Bucks vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Monday‘s game with 71.2% confidence.

Bucks vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Trail Blazers and Bucks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 33 away games (+19.20 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 33 away games (+18.50 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 1Q Spread in 22 of their last 33 away games (+11.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 60 games (+10.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 46 of their last 70 games (+19.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 56 of their last 90 games (+18.67 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games (+17.10 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 92 games (+16.03 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.64 Units / 43% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 11-5 (+5.5 Units / 31.25% ROI).

  • 10-6 against the Moneyline (+12.4 Units / 59.76% ROI)
  • 6-9 against the Over for game total points (-3.9 Units / -22.16% ROI)
  • 9-6 against the Under for game total points (+2.4 Units / 13.64% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 10-5 (+4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 11-4 against the Moneyline (+5.6 Units / 13.22% ROI)
  • 5-10 against the Over for game total points (-6 Units / -36.36% ROI)
  • 10-5 against the Under for game total points (+4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 62 games (-29.40 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 90 games (-29.15 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 92 games (-27.67 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 games at home (-26.70 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 74 games (-24.76 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 80 games (-35.20 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 23 of their last 80 games (-30.96 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 80 games (-27.09 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 81 games (-23.01 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 81 games (-21.76 Units / -24% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Portland Trail Blazers are 6-37 (.140) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — worst among NBA teams. The San Antonio Spurs have averaged 44.9 rebounds per game (4,314 rebounds/96 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-highest among NBA teams.

The Trail Blazers are 8-34 (.190) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Trail Blazers are 4-15 (.211) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .479

The Trail Blazers are 13-22 (.371) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Bucks are 35-11 (.761) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Bucks are 35-23 (.603) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

The Bucks are 48-20 (.706) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Bucks are 52-23 (.693) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Injury Report: Bucks vs. Trail BlazersMonday‘s Game, Nov. 21

  • Wesley Matthews (Bucks): Matthews is out for Monday’s (Nov. 21) game against Portland.
  • Khris Middleton (Bucks): Middleton is expected to miss the first few weeks of the regular season, according to Shams Charnia and Eric Nehm of The Athletic.
  • Joe Ingles (Bucks): Bucks GM Jon Horst said Ingles is expected to return sometime in January.
  • Keon Johnson (Trail Blazers): Johnson is out for Monday’s (Nov. 21) game against Milwaukee.
  • Gary Payton II (Trail Blazers): Payton II will make his season debut at the earliest on Nov. 15 against San Antonio, according to Chris Haynes of Yahoo Sports.
  • Damian Lillard (Trail Blazers): Lillard will be sidelined for a brief period with a calf strain, according to Chris Haynes of TNT.

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 20.2 points in the paint per game (3,376 points/167 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.9

The Trail Blazers have averaged 1.39 points per shot (714 points/515 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Trail Blazers averaged 115.9 points per game (8,345 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Trail Blazers have averaged 42.0 points in the paint per game (7,016 points/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.4

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have an eFG% of 52% this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Bucks have averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (154 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.6

The Bucks have averaged 1.16 points per shot (532 points/460 shots) on the road this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Bucks have averaged 19.8 points in the paint per game (238 points/12 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,534 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Trail Blazers have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (196 blocks/49 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Trail Blazers have averaged 6.8 steals per game (88 steals/13 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Trail Blazers have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (51 blocks/13 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (3,441 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,165 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Bucks have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/12 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Bucks have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (405 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.