Trail Blazers vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 08, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics (45-21) are -10.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers (31-34)
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Wednesday, March 8, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BOS & ROOT Sports NW

The Portland Trail Blazers visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Boston.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Trail Blazers vs Celtics Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 33-32 against the spread, while the Celtics are 34-31 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers+10.5 -115O 230.5 -110+375
Boston Celtics -10.5 -105U 230.5 -110-500

Celtics vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Wednesday‘s game with 72.5% confidence.

Celtics vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.9% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Trail Blazers and Celtics, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 82 games (+13.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 37 away games (+11.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 41 away games (+10.67 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 79 games (+10.53 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 71 games (+30.89 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 59 of their last 100 games (+13.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 43 games at home (+12.39 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 74 games (+10.77 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 33-32 (-2.2 Units / -3.08% ROI).

  • 31-34 against the Moneyline (+0.95 Units / 0.96% ROI)
  • 31-33 against the Over for game total points (-5.3 Units / -7.41% ROI)
  • 33-31 against the Under for game total points (-1.1 Units / -1.54% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 34-31 (-0.1 Units / -0.14% ROI).

  • 45-21 against the Moneyline (-18.2 Units / -8.43% ROI)
  • 34-32 against the Over for game total points (-1.2 Units / -1.65% ROI)
  • 32-34 against the Under for game total points (-5.4 Units / -7.44% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 75 games (-40.04 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (-28.30 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 43 of their last 87 games (-25.90 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 100 games (-23.21 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 100 games (-22.61 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 30 of their last 83 games (-24.46 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 79 games (-21.58 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 82 games (-19.16 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 82 games (-19.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-18.94 Units / -21% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Portland Trail Blazers are 25-53 (.321) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Atlanta Hawks have averaged 11.8 turnovers per game (1,657 turnovers/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-lowest among NBA teams.

The Portland Trail Blazers are 12-19 (.387) when they lose the turnover margin this season — tied for ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Atlanta Hawks have averaged 12.4 turnovers per game (733 turnovers/59 games) this season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Trail Blazers are 9-23 (.273) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .391

The Trail Blazers are 27-30 (.474) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Boston Celtics are 28-5 (.848) when winning the rebounding margin this season — third-best among NBA teams. The Brooklyn Nets have averaged 40.0 rebounds per game (2,360 rebounds/59 games) this season — second-lowest among NBA teams.

The Boston Celtics are 67-16 (.807) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-best among NBA teams. The Brooklyn Nets have averaged 42.6 rebounds per game (6,000 rebounds/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for fifth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Celtics are 20-7 (.741) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Celtics are 20-10 (.667) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .513

Injury Report: Celtics vs. Trail BlazersWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 8

  • Payton Pritchard (Celtics): Pritchard is questionable for Wednesday’s (Mar 8) game against Portland.
  • Robert Williams III (Celtics): Celtics coach Joe Mazzulla said Williams could miss 7-10 days.
  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): Gallinari is hoping to return and play at the end of the season, according to Adam Himmelsbach of The Boston Globe.
  • Jusuf Nurkic (Trail Blazers): Nurkic is questionable for Wednesday’s (Mar 8) game against Boston.
  • Anfernee Simons (Trail Blazers): Simons is OUT for Wednesday’s (Mar 8) game against Boston.
  • Justise Winslow (Trail Blazers): Winslow has not played since Dec. 21. No timetable has been announced for his return to action.
  • Ibou Badji (Trail Blazers): The Trail Blazers announced that Badji will have surgery on his left knee and is expected to miss eight weeks.
  • Ryan Arcidiacono (Trail Blazers): Arcidiacono hasn’t played since Feb. 23 against Sacramento and remains without a timetable to return.

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,551 assists/ 977 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Trail Blazers have averaged 106.3 points per game (7,549 points/71 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.0

The Trail Blazers have made 12.9 three-pointers per game this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,420 assists/ 817 TOs) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 15.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Celtics have averaged 1.8 second chance points per game (85 points/47 games) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

The Celtics have an eFG% of 56% this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Celtics have a 25% free throw rate (1,311 free throw attempts/5,181 field goal attempts) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 6.4 steals per game (376 steals/59 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,524 rebounds/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Trail Blazers have averaged 31.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,863 rebounds/59 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1

The Trail Blazers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (254 blocks/59 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 35.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,082 rebounds/59 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1

The Celtics have averaged 6.2 steals per game (364 steals/59 games) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Celtics have averaged 6.6 steals per game (708 steals/107 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Celtics have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (794 blocks/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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