- The Hawks (31-31) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers (29-33)
- Total (Over/Under): 241.5 points
- Friday, March 3, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
- Watch the game on BSSE & ROOT Sports NW+
The Portland Trail Blazers visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Atlanta.
The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).
The Trail Blazers vs Hawks Over/Under is 241.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 31-31 against the spread, while the Hawks are 27-34 against the spread.
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Trail Blazers vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Portland Trail Blazers | +8.5 -115 | O 241.5 -110 | +260 |
Atlanta Hawks | -8.5 -105 | U 241.5 -110 | -350 |
Hawks vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Friday‘s game with 65.6% confidence.
Hawks vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Trail Blazers and Hawks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Trail Blazers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 82 games (+13.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 38 away games (+12.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 away games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 76 games (+9.73 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.35 Units / 72% ROI)
Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 80 games (+11.62 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games at home (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 60 games (+9.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+8.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 73 games (+8.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Portland Trail Blazers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 31-31 (-3.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- 29-33 against the Moneyline (-0.3 Units / -0.32% ROI)
- 30-31 against the Over for game total points (-4.1 Units / -6.01% ROI)
- 31-30 against the Under for game total points (-2 Units / -2.93% ROI)
Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 27-34 (-10.4 Units / -15.25% ROI).
- 31-31 against the Moneyline (-13.55 Units / -12.1% ROI)
- 36-26 against the Over for game total points (+7.4 Units / 10.85% ROI)
- 26-36 against the Under for game total points (-13.6 Units / -19.94% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 34 of their last 85 games (-34.54 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 57 games (-26.89 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-22.04 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 57 games (-20.88 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 73 games (-18.65 Units / -22% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Trail Blazers:
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 29 of their last 82 games (-25.04 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 76 games (-20.30 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 82 games (-20.22 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 82 games (-19.26 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 82 games (-18.24 Units / -20% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Portland Trail Blazers
- Keys to Winning for the Atlanta Hawks
- Player Injuries for Portland Trail Blazers vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Portland Trail Blazers Offensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Offensive stats
- Portland Trail Blazers Defensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Defensive stats
Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks
The Portland Trail Blazers are 25-53 (.321) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Atlanta Hawks have averaged 11.8 turnovers per game (1,657 turnovers/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-lowest among NBA teams.
The Portland Trail Blazers are 12-19 (.387) when they lose the turnover margin this season — tied for ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Atlanta Hawks have averaged 12.4 turnovers per game (733 turnovers/59 games) this season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.
The Trail Blazers are 9-23 (.273) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .391
The Trail Blazers are 27-30 (.474) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540
Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers
The Atlanta Hawks are 4-12 (.250) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 10th-worst among NBA teams. The Portland Trail Blazers has shot 37% from three (764/2,044) this season — eighth-best among NBA teams.
The Atlanta Hawks are 48-26 (.649) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th-best among NBA teams. The Portland Trail Blazers have averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (1,939 turnovers/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for seventh-highest among NBA teams.
The Hawks are 58-11 (.841) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .780
The Hawks are 24-26 (.480) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539
Injury Report: Hawks vs. Trail Blazers – Friday‘s Game, Mar. 3
- Trae Young (Hawks): The Hawks have listed Young as PROBABLE for Friday’s game (Mar. 3) against the Trail Blazers.
- Jusuf Nurkic (Trail Blazers): Nurkic is expected to return after the All-Star break, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
- Anfernee Simons (Trail Blazers): The Trail Blazers have listed Simons as DOUBTFUL for Friday’s game (Mar. 3) against the Hawks.
- Justise Winslow (Trail Blazers): Winslow has not played since Dec. 21. No timetable has been announced for his return to action.
- Ibou Badji (Trail Blazers): Badji has yet to appear in a game this season and a timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.
- Ryan Arcidiacono (Trail Blazers): The Trail Blazers have listed Arcidiacono as OUT for Friday’s game (Mar. 3) against the Hawks.
Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,551 assists/ 977 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Trail Blazers have averaged 106.3 points per game (7,549 points/71 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.0
The Trail Blazers have made 12.9 three-pointers per game this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,420 assists/ 817 TOs) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (5,198 assists/ 2,571 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Hawks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (1,269 turnovers/213 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6
The Hawks have averaged 12.4 turnovers per game (733 turnovers/59 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Hawks have averaged 11.5 turnovers per game (796 turnovers/69 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2
Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers have averaged 6.4 steals per game (376 steals/59 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,524 rebounds/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7
The Trail Blazers have averaged 31.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,863 rebounds/59 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1
The Trail Blazers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (254 blocks/59 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have averaged 6.5 steals per game (469 steals/72 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Hawks have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,968 rebounds/59 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1
The Hawks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (728 steals/108 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Hawks have blocked 291 shots this season — tied for 10th most among NBA teams
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