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Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 7

min read
 BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 07, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Heat (2-5) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers (5-1)
  • Total (Over/Under): 215.5 points
  • Monday, November 7, 2022 at 8:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSUN & ROOT Sports NW

The Portland Trail Blazers visit FTX Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Miami.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Trail Blazers vs Heat Over/Under is 217.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 7-2 against the spread, while the Heat are 2-8 against the spread.

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Trail Blazers vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers+5.5 -105O 217.5 -110185
Miami Heat -5.5 -115U 217.5 -110-225

Heat vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Monday‘s game with 64.7% confidence.

Heat vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Trail Blazers and Heat, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.

  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 away games (+21.20 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 29 away games (+13.30 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 40 away games (+11.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+10.41 Units / 17% ROI)
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  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 55 of their last 89 games (+16.98 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 51 of their last 82 games (+16.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 98 games (+13.75 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2H Moneyline in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.38 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 3Q Spread in 57 of their last 98 games (+11.30 Units / 10% ROI)
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    Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 7-2 (+4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI).

    • 6-3 against the Moneyline (+9.4 Units / 95.92% ROI)
    • 2-6 against the Over for game total points (-4.6 Units / -46.46% ROI)
    • 6-2 against the Under for game total points (+3.8 Units / 38.38% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 2-8 (-6.8 Units / -61.82% ROI).

    • 4-6 against the Moneyline (-5.85 Units / -36.79% ROI)
    • 4-6 against the Over for game total points (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI)
    • 6-4 against the Under for game total points (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 93 games (-27.38 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 93 games (-27.28 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 89 games (-25.62 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 44 games (-18.71 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 39 of their last 89 games (-15.99 Units / -16% ROI)
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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 81 games (-43.60 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 19 of their last 75 games (-35.46 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 81 games (-32.57 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 77 games (-23.94 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 77 games (-23.39 Units / -28% ROI)
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    Jump to:

    Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

    The Trail Blazers were 8-31 (.205) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .450

    The Trail Blazers were 7-22 (.241) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

    The Trail Blazers are 4-15 (.211) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

    The Trail Blazers were 6-26 (.188) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .321

    Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

    The Miami Heat were 25-9 (.735) when they win the turnover margin last season — fifth-best among NBA teams. The Portland Trail Blazers averaged 13.7 turnovers per game (1,122 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for seventh-highest among NBA teams.

    The Miami Heat were 36-8 (.818) when winning the rebounding margin last season — tied for seventh-best among NBA teams. The Portland Trail Blazers averaged 42.9 rebounds per game (3,517 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for sixth-lowest among NBA teams.

    The Heat were 29-2 (.935) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .749

    The Heat were 21-10 (.677) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

    Injury Report: Heat vs. Trail Blazers – Monday‘s Game, Nov. 7

  • Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo has not played this season and is not believed to be closed to returning to action, according to Brian Windhorst of ESPN.
  • Tyler Herro (Heat): Herro is questionable for Monday’s (Nov. 7) game against Portland.
  • Omer Yurtseven (Heat): Yurtseven is out for Monday’s (Nov. 7) game against Portland.
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  • Gary Payton II (Trail Blazers): Payton II will make his season debut at the earliest on Nov. 15 against San Antonio, according to Chris Haynes of Yahoo Sports.
  • Damian Lillard (Trail Blazers): Lillard is questionable for Monday’s (Nov. 7) game against Miami.
  • Justise Winslow (Trail Blazers): Winslow is probable for Monday’s (Nov. 7) game against Miami.
  • Olivier Sarr (Trail Blazers): The Trail Blazers announced that a timeline for Sarr’s return will be announced in one week.
  • Josh Hart (Trail Blazers): Hart is probable for Monday’s (Nov. 7) game against Miami.
  • Anfernee Simons (Trail Blazers): Simons is doubtful for Monday’s (Nov. 7) game against Miami.
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    Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Trail Blazers have averaged 19.9 points in the paint per game (3,066 points/154 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.8

    The Trail Blazers have averaged 41.6 points in the paint per game (6,414 points/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.2

    The Trail Blazers had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (951 assists/ 544 TOs) at home last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

    The Trail Blazers averaged 51.2 points per game (4,201 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.1

    Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Heat shot 38% from three (1,100/2,888) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

    The Heat averaged 40.8 points in the paint per game (1,634 points/40 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46.4

    The Heat averaged 20.5 points in the paint per game (1,658 points/81 games) in the second half last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

    The Heat shot 39% from three (562/1,461) on the road last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

    Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,100 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

    The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,661 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Trail Blazers stole the ball 656 times last season — 8th most among NBA teams

    The Trail Blazers averaged 8.0 steals per game (656 steals/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Heat averaged 3.2 blocks per game (260 blocks/81 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (546 blocks/153 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

    The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (277 blocks/77 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

    The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (269 blocks/76 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

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