- The Mavericks (14-13) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers (15-12)
- Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
- Friday, December 16, 2022 at 8:30pm EST
- Watch the game on BSSW & ROOT Sports NW
The Portland Trail Blazers visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas.
The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).
The Trail Blazers vs Mavericks Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 19-9 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 8-18 against the spread.
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Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Portland Trail Blazers | +4.5 -115 | O 226.5 -110 | +140 |
Dallas Mavericks | -4.5 -105 | U 226.5 -110 | -165 |
Mavericks vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Friday‘s game with 58.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.9% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Trail Blazers and Mavericks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Trail Blazers Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 away games (+19.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 40 away games (+18.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 70 games (+14.88 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 1Q Spread in 43 of their last 72 games (+12.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 72 games (+11.93 Units / 14% ROI)
Mavericks Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 66 of their last 100 games (+29.24 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 49 games at home (+15.56 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+10.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.15 Units / 18% ROI)
Portland Trail Blazers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 19-9 (+9.1 Units / 29.55% ROI).
- 16-12 against the Moneyline (+13 Units / 34.26% ROI)
- 14-13 against the Over for game total points (-0.3 Units / -0.97% ROI)
- 13-14 against the Under for game total points (-2.4 Units / -7.79% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 8-18 (-11.8 Units / -38.31% ROI).
- 14-14 against the Moneyline (-17.25 Units / -26.87% ROI)
- 17-11 against the Over for game total points (+4.9 Units / 15.91% ROI)
- 11-17 against the Under for game total points (-7.7 Units / -25% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Mavericks, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 100 games (-41.63 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 40 of their last 85 games (-21.36 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 33 games (-20.80 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games at home (-17.20 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 80 games (-16.05 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Trail Blazers, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 24 of their last 81 games (-29.78 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 81 games (-29.56 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 76 games (-25.43 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 78 games (-24.40 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 72 games (-21.32 Units / -26% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Portland Trail Blazers
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Player Injuries for Portland Trail Blazers vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Portland Trail Blazers Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Portland Trail Blazers Defensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Portland Trail Blazers are 6-37 (.140) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — worst among NBA teams. The San Antonio Spurs have averaged 44.9 rebounds per game (4,314 rebounds/96 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-highest among NBA teams.
The Trail Blazers are 8-34 (.190) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447
The Trail Blazers are 4-15 (.211) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .479
The Trail Blazers are 13-22 (.371) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers
The Mavericks are 25-12 (.676) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Mavericks are 22-6 (.786) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506
The Mavericks are 35-19 (.648) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Mavericks are 46-21 (.687) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
Injury Report: Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers – Friday‘s Game, Dec. 16
- Maxi Kleber (Mavericks): The Mavericks announced that Kleber suffered a tear of his right hamstring and there’s no timetable for his return.
- Josh Green (Mavericks): Green is out for Friday’s (Dec. 16) game against Portland.
- Davis Bertans (Mavericks): Bertans is questionable for Friday’s (Dec. 16) game against Portland.
- Nassir Little (Trail Blazers): The Trailblazers announced that Little will miss six weeks with a mild femoral head impaction fracture.
- Trendon Watford (Trail Blazers): Watford is probable for Friday’s (Dec 16) game against Dallas.
- Josh Hart (Trail Blazers): Hart is probable for Friday’s (Dec 16) game against Dallas.
- Drew Eubanks (Trail Blazers): Eubanks is probable for Friday’s (Dec 16) game against Dallas.
- Gary Payton II (Trail Blazers): Payton II is targeting his season debut in the next one to two weeks, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.
Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers have averaged 20.2 points in the paint per game (3,376 points/167 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.9
The Trail Blazers have averaged 1.39 points per shot (714 points/515 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
The Trail Blazers averaged 115.9 points per game (8,345 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8
The Trail Blazers have averaged 42.0 points in the paint per game (7,016 points/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.4
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 7.9 assists per game (95 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8
The Mavericks have averaged 49.9 points per game (599 points/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.7
The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (95 assists/ 88 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Mavericks have a 32% free throw rate (321 free throw attempts/991 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%
Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,534 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1
The Trail Blazers have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (196 blocks/49 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Trail Blazers have averaged 6.8 steals per game (88 steals/13 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Trail Blazers have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (51 blocks/13 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,106 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (327 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Mavericks have averaged 31.1 defensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2
The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (552 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
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