Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 12, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Mavericks (3-3) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers (5-1)
  • Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
  • Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 8:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSW & ROOT Sports NW

The Portland Trail Blazers visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Trail Blazers vs Mavericks Over/Under is 217.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 10-2 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 3-7 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers+5.5 -110O 217.5 -110170
Dallas Mavericks -5.5 -110U 217.5 -110-210

Mavericks vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Saturday‘s game with 60.6% confidence.

Mavericks vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Trail Blazers and Mavericks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 32 away games (+20.20 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 32 away games (+19.50 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 1Q Spread in 22 of their last 32 away games (+12.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 56 games (+11.21 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 60 of their last 89 games (+28.89 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 44 games at home (+20.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 47 games at home (+17.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1Q Spread in 55 of their last 92 games (+14.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 44 games at home (+11.85 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 10-2 (+7.8 Units / 59.09% ROI).

  • 9-3 against the Moneyline (+15.6 Units / 119.08% ROI)
  • 3-8 against the Over for game total points (-5.8 Units / -43.94% ROI)
  • 8-3 against the Under for game total points (+4.7 Units / 35.61% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 3-7 (-4.7 Units / -38.84% ROI).

  • 6-5 against the Moneyline (-8.1 Units / -28.52% ROI)
  • 7-4 against the Over for game total points (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI)
  • 4-7 against the Under for game total points (-3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 95 games (-39.96 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 45 of their last 98 games (-24.16 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 47 games at home (-22.30 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 99 games (-17.41 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 93 games (-14.50 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 82 games (-38.02 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 22 of their last 78 games (-31.60 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 82 games (-29.35 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 80 games (-21.91 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 80 games (-20.94 Units / -24% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Trail Blazers are 10-47 (.172) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

The Trail Blazers are 6-37 (.140) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .301

The Trail Blazers are 18-23 (.439) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Trail Blazers are 13-22 (.371) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Dallas Mavericks are 33-7 (.825) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-best among NBA teams. The Portland Trail Blazers have averaged 43.0 rebounds per game (4,045 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Mavericks are 21-6 (.778) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Mavericks are 28-1 (.966) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .799

The Mavericks are 51-4 (.927) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .773

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. Trail BlazersSaturday‘s Game, Nov. 12

  • Christian Wood (Mavericks): The Mavericks have listed Wood as PROBABLE for Saturday’s game (Nov. 12) against the Trail Blazers.
  • Davis Bertans (Mavericks): Bertans has yet to play this season and no timetable for his return has been announced.
  • Jerami Grant (Trail Blazers): The Trail Blazers have listed Grant as PROBABLE for Saturday’s game (Nov. 12) against the Mavs.
  • Keon Johnson (Trail Blazers): The Trail Blazers have listed Johnson as QUESTIONABLE for Saturday’s game (Nov. 12) against the Mavs.
  • Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers): The Trail Blazers have listed Sharpe as QUESTIONABLE for Saturday’s game (Nov. 12) against the Mavs.
  • Jusuf Nurkic (Trail Blazers): The Trail Blazers have listed Nurkic as QUESTIONABLE for Saturday’s game (Nov. 12) against the Mavs.
  • Gary Payton II (Trail Blazers): Payton II will make his season debut at the earliest on Nov. 15 against San Antonio, according to Chris Haynes of Yahoo Sports.
  • Olivier Sarr (Trail Blazers): The Trail Blazers announced that a timeline for Sarr’s return will be announced in one week.

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 42.0 points in the paint per game (6,980 points/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.4

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (2,165 assists/ 1,309 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Trail Blazers have averaged 1.32 points per shot (1,309 points/990 shots) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Trail Blazers have 25.8 free throw attempts per game this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.2

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 7.4 assists per game (81 assists/11 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Mavericks have averaged 11.4 turnovers per game (936 turnovers/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (81 assists/ 82 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Mavericks have averaged 19.3 assists per game (212 assists/11 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.9

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.6 defensive rebounds per game (3,063 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Trail Blazers have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (49 blocks/12 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,502 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Trail Blazers have 738 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th most among NBA teams

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 30.9 defensive rebounds per game (340 rebounds/11 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Mavericks have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (41 blocks/11 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Mavericks have averaged 8.9 steals per game (98 steals/11 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,098 steals/165 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.