Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Mar. 22

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on KUNP | ALT | NBAt

The Portland Trail Blazers visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:00 pm in Denver, CO.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 37-34 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 39-31 against the spread.

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Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Sunday‘s game with 60.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.

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Trail Blazers Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 away games (+13.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.72 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.85 Units / 71% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.70 Units / 28% ROI)

Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+10.40 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+10.15 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.80 Units / 69% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+8.40 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.25 Units / 20% ROI)

Portland Trail Blazers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 37-34 (-0.4 Units / -0.51% ROI).

• 35-36 against the Moneyline (+3.35 Units / 2.75% ROI)
• 37-34 against the Over for game total points (-0.4 Units / -0.51% ROI)
• 34-37 against the Under for game total points (-6.7 Units / -8.58% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 39-31 (+4.9 Units / 6.36% ROI).

• 43-27 against the Moneyline (+3.6 Units / 1.98% ROI)
• 43-27 against the Over for game total points (+13.33 Units / 17.32% ROI)
• 27-43 against the Under for game total points (-20.3 Units / -26.34% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 30 games at home (-18.46 Units / -35% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2H Spread in 9 of their last 30 games at home (-15.07 Units / -43% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 30 games at home (-14.40 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 23 games at home (-14.00 Units / -51% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 23 games at home (-13.75 Units / -51% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Trail Blazers:

• The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.40 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.00 Units / -28% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 away games (-14.70 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 away games (-13.55 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games (-13.20 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Portland Trail Blazers
• Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
• Player Injuries for Portland Trail Blazers vs. Denver Nuggets
• Portland Trail Blazers Offensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
• Portland Trail Blazers Defensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Defensive stats

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Trail Blazers were 1-11 (.083) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424

The Trail Blazers are 6-18 (.250) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .365

The Trail Blazers are 21-80 (.208) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have averaged 53.1 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-highest in the NBA.

The Trail Blazers were 6-36 (.143) when losing the rebounding margin in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Nuggets are 34-7 (.829) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .619

The Nuggets are undefeated (5-0) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634

The Nuggets were 13-1 (.929) when forcing 10 or more steals in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Nuggets were 25-8 (.758) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,778 assists/ 1,228 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Trail Blazers shot 44% (3,227/7,356) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 51% in the second half in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Trail Blazers have averaged 9.2 second chance points per game (655 points/71 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 39% from three (980/2,498) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets averaged 59.4 points in the paint per game (2,434 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.7

The Nuggets averaged 20.2 fast break points per game (1,653 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (7,848 rebounds/235 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers have blocked 381 shots this season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,739 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have forced 11.9 turnovers per game (392 turnovers/33 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.6

The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (280 blocks/71 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,031 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

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