Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 6

• The Nuggets are -8.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
• Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
• Watch the game on KUNP | ALT | KTVD

The Portland Trail Blazers visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Denver, CO.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 42-36 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 42-36 against the spread.

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Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday‘s game with 79.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Trail Blazers Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 away games (+13.95 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.67 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.60 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.10 Units / 19% ROI)

Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+9.15 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.25 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.00 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI)

Portland Trail Blazers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 42-36 (+2.4 Units / 2.8% ROI).

• 40-38 against the Moneyline (+3.2 Units / 1.94% ROI)
• 40-38 against the Over for game total points (-1.8 Units / -2.1% ROI)
• 38-40 against the Under for game total points (-6 Units / -6.99% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 42-36 (+2.4 Units / 2.8% ROI).

• 50-28 against the Moneyline (+3.15 Units / 1.27% ROI)
• 48-30 against the Over for game total points (+15.03 Units / 17.52% ROI)
• 30-48 against the Under for game total points (-22.8 Units / -26.55% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 35 games at home (-16.81 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 35 games at home (-14.31 Units / -35% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 35 games at home (-13.70 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.00 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.25 Units / -21% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Trail Blazers:

• The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.78 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.30 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 21 games (-15.50 Units / -64% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.35 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 30 away games (-14.10 Units / -43% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Portland Trail Blazers
• Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
• Player Injuries for Portland Trail Blazers vs. Denver Nuggets
• Portland Trail Blazers Offensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
• Portland Trail Blazers Defensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Defensive stats

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Trail Blazers are 13-55 (.191) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have shot 38% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-best in the NBA.

The Trail Blazers are 3-9 (.250) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .397

The Trail Blazers are 13-3 (.812) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .699

The Trail Blazers are 4-15 (.211) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .415

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Nuggets are 36-7 (.837) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .619

The Nuggets are undefeated (5-0) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .635

The Nuggets are winless (0-9) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .097

The Nuggets are winless (0-14) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .084

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 17.4 turnovers per game (1,356 turnovers/78 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (921 assists/ 692 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Trail Blazers have averaged 8.9 turnovers per game (692 turnovers/78 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Trail Blazers have averaged 9.0 second chance points per game (703 points/78 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (1,094 assists/ 485 TOs) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Nuggets are shooting 41% from three (536/1,323) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets are shooting 40% from three (1,103/2,787) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets have averaged 1.39 points per shot (9,482 points/6,812 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (8,107 rebounds/242 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers have blocked 428 shots this season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Trail Blazers have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,439 rebounds/160 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (428 blocks/78 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (530 steals/78 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Nuggets have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,882 rebounds/78 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (304 blocks/78 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets have forced 11.7 turnovers per game (443 turnovers/38 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.6

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